return2ozma@lemmy.world to Asklemmy · 2 months agoWhat's your prediction for the 2024 US election?message-squaremessage-square97fedilinkarrow-up146arrow-down118file-text
arrow-up128arrow-down1message-squareWhat's your prediction for the 2024 US election?return2ozma@lemmy.world to Asklemmy · 2 months agomessage-square97fedilinkfile-text
minus-squareAdramis@midwest.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up2·edit-22 months agoMaybe I’m crazy, but I feel like gamblers have a heavy right lean. Edit - Oops: https://midwest.social/post/18205923?scrollToComments=true
minus-squarePolandIsAStateOfMindlinkfedilinkarrow-up3·edit-22 months agoYou’re not wrong, it’s because leftists are generally more critical of gambling.
minus-squareDessalinesAlinkfedilinkarrow-up2arrow-down1·2 months agoGamblers don’t always get it right, but this page has some interesting history: https://electionbettingodds.com/about.html Gamblers, polls, and the NYT’s most sophisticated prediction algorithms all got it very wrong in 2016, and severely overestimating hillary and underestimating trump. But of those three, the prediction markets were the least wrong.
Maybe I’m crazy, but I feel like gamblers have a heavy right lean.
Edit - Oops: https://midwest.social/post/18205923?scrollToComments=true
You’re not wrong, it’s because leftists are generally more critical of gambling.
Gamblers don’t always get it right, but this page has some interesting history: https://electionbettingodds.com/about.html
Gamblers, polls, and the NYT’s most sophisticated prediction algorithms all got it very wrong in 2016, and severely overestimating hillary and underestimating trump. But of those three, the prediction markets were the least wrong.