• @bc3114
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    12 years ago

    US would never pick a fight with Russia/China. What they’ve been doing is much more passive aggressive. By bring NATO around Russia/China, US brings a ton of pressure with a reasonable cost. Militarily it’s not much a threat, it’s just super annoying for Russia/China, warning Japan/S.Korea/India/Europe to not side with them.

    China and Russia are much better off economically than the west.

    I am not sure about this though. I think the the most important economy conflict/race right now, is the west shifting away from Chinese products, and China stepping into the irreplaceable high-tech industry which would make that shift-away impossible. Both would take years and I don’t see a winning side yet. Japan/Europe/India would be wise to side with both sides but US is obviously not happy about that.

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆OP
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      12 years ago

      US generally uses proxy wars and indirect influence via its puppet regimes, but that’s still a conflict with China and Russia. NATO is costing the west a huge amount of resources, and at a time of a deepening economic crisis this is a burden that will break the west.

      It’s worth noting that while US keeps trying to get partners in Asia, the reality of the situation is that all the Asian countries are economically dependent on trade with China. There is absolutely nothing US can offer to counter that.

      The mistake you make is thinking that China is dependent on the west and that the west would be able to shift away from Chinese market. The reality is that there is no replacement for Chinese manufacturing, and western companies are not going to live Chinese markets because that would put them at a severe disadvantage with their competitors.

      Meanwhile, China is already working on dual circulation to create a robust internal economy that’s independent of the west, and they’re building out huge economic projects like the BRI that are replacing the need for western markets. Chinese stocks are already being seen as being insulated from western economic crashes now indicating that China is already significantly decoupled.

      My prediction is that the economic war will prove to be devastating for western countries. We’re seeing living standards collapse across western world after only a few months, and the worst is yet to come. This is leading to political turmoil and civil unrest. This is a downward spiral the west has no way out of.

      • The only way out of the west will be to either collapse and be rebuild under socialist regimes, or accept dominance of the East. If the bourgeoisie is smart, they will try the later if not late enough for them. And maybe we will gain socialist influence in the East enough to start a chain conversion towards a new system, but this is only day dreaming, so don’t take me as speaking seriously enough

        • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆OP
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          02 years ago

          Completely agree, in order to avoid collapse the west needs to bring things like manufacturing back and become self sufficient. That can only happen under socialism. I expect the chain reaction will be happening all over the developing world now.