• @SaddamHussein24@lemmygrad.ml
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    162 years ago

    I actually think China will “invade” (you cant invade your own territory) Taiwan pretty soon. Not because they want to, but because the US will soon prepare a provocation, like an independence declaration, forcing China to swiftly respond. I hope it doesnt happen but i think it will. US is getting desperate, they will attack China through Taiwan just like they did to Russia through Ukraine.

    • Idk, Doesnt China have really impressive long term policies and they are good in mantaining pressure in disadvantagious situations?

      Maybe they already have planned several countermeasures that do not include an actual invasion.

      • Chinas plan is to reunify Taiwan in China following “one country, two systems”, just like in Hong Kong and Macau. Taiwan will be part of China but retain its current political and economic system, separate from the mainland. This is what was agreed in 1990 between the CPC and the Kuomintang. However, now you have the DPP, fanatic antichina liberals funded by the US, in power. They reject reunification and want independence, following US orders, and its possible they may declare independence soon. China has already said that this is a red line. If Taiwan declares independence, then there will be military intervention. This is what China said.

    • @morrowind
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      22 years ago

      US is getting desperate

      Why would the US be getting desperate, Taiwan is exactly where they want it right now, they just want maintain the status quo.

      • China will inevitably surpass the US as the worlds top economic power by 2025 or earlier, which will destroy the US economy based on infinite debt sustained only by the US dollars world dominance. The US wants to provoke a war with China over Taiwan to cripple its economy so it cant surpass the US. This was clearly laid out in 2016 in the paper “War with China” by RAND Corporation (a NATO affiliated think tank).

        https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1140.html

        • @TheAnonymouseJoker@lemmygrad.ml
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          2 years ago

          China has more or less surpassed it already on multiple metrics. The emerging youth of USA is also not a human resource, but a liability, so the situation becomes even better because I want Anglo empire to collapse completely, beyond recovery.

          Reagan economics over Roosevelt’s, and Bernays’ model for USA is working well.

          • ButtigiegMineralMap
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            52 years ago

            Yep, I hear that China is becoming the world’s #1 trade partner (majority of nations on Earth trade w/ US or China primarily, the number is rapidly growing for China and US is slowly receding.) not sure if they reached it yet, but I believe the estimate was that they could do it by 2025 and would MOST CERTAINLY do it by 2030(barring any impossible to predict circumstances) so yea China is def becoming the biggest trade partner in a few years

      • not just economically, but specifically technology plays an important role. technological supremacy is a large part of why the west and the US is able to maintain imperial supremacy, especially since technology plays such an important role in military supremacy. hypersonic weapons is a good demonstrator of this. there is a 5-15 year window in which the US might feel it would be able to win a small or large scale conflict, and it would rather fight with a seeming advantage than not. taking TSMC (depending on the timeframe, both countries are aiming for self-sufficiency) could also be a killing blow on US infrastructure and its ability to produce high-end military hardware.