Israeli military spokesman Daniel Hagari said in a briefing early Wednesday morning that no Israeli strike, either by air, land or sea, occurred near Al-Ahli Arab Hospital at the time of the deadly explosion. He added that drone footage, radar information and a recording of Gaza militants indicate a misfired Islamic Jihad rocket was responsible.
He said the Israeli military would soon publish the radar info, footage and a recording of militants in Gaza assigning blame to Islamic Jihad, a group aligned with Hamas. All the information, Hagari said, would be given to President Biden as part of a “full briefing” when the U.S. leader arrives in Israel Wednesday.
Palestinian Ambassador to the U.N. Riyad Mansour accused Israel of carrying out the strike, calling Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu a liar for blaming the strike on the armed group Islamic Jihad. “Now they change the story to try to blame the Palestinians. It is a lie,” Mansour said during a press conference at the U.N. headquarters.
Edit: From the IDF’s official Telegram Channel
IDF: A failed rocket launch by the Islamic Jihad terrorist organization hit the Al Ahli hospital in Gaza City
Attached is a video from the IAF system that captured the area around the hospital before and after the failed rocket launch by the Islamic Jihad terrorist organization: https://bit.ly/3M5oQMI
IDF: Following the briefing by the IDF Spokesperson Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari on the failed rocket launch by the Islamic Jihad terrorist organization that hit the hospital in Gaza City:
Attached is the briefing: https://IDFANC.activetrail.biz/ANC1810202362
Attached is a recording of a conversation between Hamas operatives regarding the Islamic Jihad failed rocket launch on the hospital on October 17, 2023: https://bit.ly/3S4xqiG
Attached is a visual analysis following the IAF’s examination on the subject: https://IDFANC.activetrail.biz/ANC1810156854
Attached is an infographic of all the failed rocket launches in the Gaza Strip since the beginning of the war: https://IDFANC.activetrail.biz/1810202309876543672
Attached is a photograph from the IDF launch identification system on the subject: https://IDFANC.activetrail.biz/ANC18102023984
Following the recording that was sent out, attached is a transcript of the conversation between Hamas operatives: https://IDFANC.activetrail.biz/ANC181020238465
This was 6 days ago.
More bombs in 6 days than a year in Afghanistan. And it’s been a further 6 days.
Why are they even bothering to deny they did this when they’re the ones bombing Gaza over and over.
Why are we talking and not doing? Just release it already if it’s vindicating.
It takes a long time to extract and compile evidence. Especially when it is this important. It will need to be checked over as well before anything is released.
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An aspect I hadn’t considered, they probably do want to conceal their full surveillance abilities.
They also need to redact anything damning…
or just classified in general… there’s plenty of blame to pass israel; let’s not give anyone ammo to say it’s all just bias
Yea, the charitable explanation here is definitely that they need to review the footage to make sure it doesn’t contain any classified drone designs or details on troop placements.
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Forging takes time
Ok great. Do it.
I’d be very interested to see their evidence, especially given the initial claim that they hit the hospital because HAMAS were there. The video that I saw shows a fuck off huge explosion, and I’d be very surprised to learn that a Jihadist group’s rocket did that. AFAIK, most of their rockets are anti-personnel and anti-armor grade, stuff a little like what the HIMARS carries, not shit that’s going to level half a hospital in one go. I mean, unless they’re just casually rocking Tomahawk cruise missiles or something, it just seems like a big reach.
Do you have a source for this initial claim? The only one I have seen is a random tweet by a wannabe Israel fanatic influencer, and not at all an official statement.
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Not on hand, heard it from an irl friend who’s also following the situation. He said that Israel claimed that it met a tactical objective.
Edit: I realize I should have fact checked him, but the horrible Nancy Grace truth is that I didn’t.
probably best not to say “given their initial claim” given that the source is a friend who didn’t say where they’d seen the info
so you may have misinterpreted what they were saying (someone claimed rather than reliable israeli sources claim), they could have misinterpreted what the source was saying, the source could have been exactly like this post and subject to similar accidental misinterpretation, or it could be just straight up misinformation: either accidental or intentional
given the amount of misinformation swirling about the whole situation, i’d probably go with “i had heard” or “i think someone mentioned somewhere” etc
Is this source in the room with us now?
No, he’s outside, with the grass that I seem to have unfortunately touched.
Other than things that could be explosive in a hospital normally (O2 canisters), Hamas has been known to use hospitals to store munitions and launch rocket strikes in the past. While I’m not saying “Israel definitely didn’t do it” I don’t think it’s out of the question or even unlikely that it genuinely wasn’t an Israeli strike
O2 doesn’t explode. I’ve done 13 years in EMS, handled the stuff daily, tried it. O2 doesn’t and wouldn’t explode like that. Concentrated O2 WILL make a fire burn MUCH more aggressively, but not explode.
Confirmed
That it was a rocket?
That under normal conditions o2 won’t explode, it will just make intense fire. It’s a bit hard to find info on if it explodes if a rocket hits it.
Regardless, the crater shows the rocket didn’t hit the hospital anyway.
I’m telling you, it shouldn’t explode even if a rocket hits it. You can get pure O2 as hot as you like and it won’t burn; kick it, shock it, pressurize it, stick it in a stew, it won’t burn. Oxygen is a necessary part of combustion, but O2 itself does not combust; it has to have something to chemically interact with, like Hydrogen or Carbon. A lot of your explosives are things that already have oxygen built in to the molecule, IIRC, and can therefore release all of its energy all at once, where materials like Gasoline (and a lot of rocket fuels that I’m aware of) that don’t have built-in oxygen will only burn as fast as oxygen can get to the molecules.
Maybe you’re thinking of something like a BLEVE, which I suppose something similar is possible if there was a bunch of rocket fuel that functionally got vaporized on impact to make a fuel-air mix, but I don’t think that’s typically how it goes with rocket impacts.
Anyway, yes, the crater seems to be in a parking lot, so that’s that.
There would be secondary detonations if that was the case. We’ve literally spent the past two years seeing ammunition depot explosions in Ukraine, so even armchair analysts on Lemmy should know what they look like.
Of course, both possibilities exist. With the information we have currently, it’s not possible to definitively say either way.
The other possibility being it was Israel but was a mistake.
There was also a video clip I saw that starts with a chain link fence and then you hear a sort of whistling sound and something slams down hard with a pretty big explosion. Ofc I’m not sure it’s verified or not but sounded and looked more like the impact of something like a JDAM instead of what you’d expect from the rockets fired by Hamas/Islamic jihad. Which although I understand are deadly, especially in large numbers, I don’t think have the explosive charge anywhere close to the impact in the video (which also seems immediate and not a bunch of secondary explosions.)
I saw that same video, reminded me a whole hell of a lot of the videos that dropped after Ukraine got a package of JDAMs from us.
Yeah I found it just now. I know people here usually prefer Piped, etc but the Piped link to it was acting flaky for me and not playing.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cCSugJpGdO4
And yeah here’s what a JDAM sounds like, like you said:
Here is an alternative Piped link(s):
https://www.piped.video/watch?v=cCSugJpGdO4
https://www.piped.video/watch?v=A_uwzugvv-g
Piped is a privacy-respecting open-source alternative frontend to YouTube.
I’m open-source; check me out at GitHub.
Any unpowered ballistic object falling out of the sky descends at the same velocity and acceleration, regardless of its size or mass.
An unpowered rocket will fall at the same speed as a dropped bomb. The horizontal and vertical vectors are separate.
No. This is all kinds of wrong.
First off you seem to imply that velocity = acceleration which is totally wrong. Then you talk about stuff that is true in a vacuum but not true when you factor in air resistance (like you would have to on earth). And finally you draw a conclusion your evidence does not actually support.
An unpowered rocket will fall at the same speed as a dropped bomb.
Only if they are the same shape and mass.
Maybe you were trying to say something about terminal velocity but you’re conclusion would be wrong anyways. Surface area absolutely effects terminal velocity.
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I would like to see this evidence. The flipping of stories from Israeli spokespeople right after the event to now is bizarre. There were a number of people, even initial US government responses, saying that the hospital was a Hamas hideout, so Israel blew it up on purpose and it’s a good thing.
Also, why do they just so happen to have audio recordings of this specific terrorist group talking about this event in particular within an hour or so after the event? Is that a likely thing for them to have acquired?
If you don’t trust the Israeli government, the whole thing was live-streamed. https://nitter.net/COUPSURE/status/1714380403782324249
That footage was subsequently rebroadcast on Al-Jazeera.
There’s a number of other angles you can find on the birdsite too.
And yes, if someone was talking about it on a radio, I’d expect Israeli sigint to pick it up. This is not their first rodeo. They’ve been the occupying power in Gaza for 56 years. That’s what made the Hamas massacre so shocking: how on earth did they miss the planning for two years.
That’s the video where the timestamp doesn’t match up with the hospital event. It’s 30-ish minutes off for some confusing reason.
Not to be confused with the other video being used for a while on official Israeli government accounts that got deleted when people figured out it was from 2022.
Speaking from my own experience running local cameras, timestamps aren’t always accurate due to admin misconfig or admin laziness
But if we’re going to say that’s not the right footage, why is Al-Jazeera broadcasting it? To me, it doesn’t seem to square with their narrative, so why show it to their viewers at all?
It was just a livestream on Al Jazeera. It was running constantly. Hence why timestamps being off doesn’t make much sense.
You really think shrapnel from a already disabled rocket could cause such a large explosion? Palestinians do not have western high explosives.
Do you really think an Israeli bomb doesn’t leave a crater? The impact was on a parking lot. It’s still a missile and gasoline still burns. Not that hard to believe
Edit: here is the aftermath from Al Jazeera https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2023/10/18/gazas-ahli-arab-hospital-after-the-attack-that-killed-at-least-500-people
And footage from Gazans on the ground. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1714535687070916987/
Hospital is still standing btw…
That is a very tiny hospital. I can’t imagine it fitting more than 150 people in it, tops.
source: trust me bro
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honestly outside of israel and palestine it’s worrisome that anyone considers either side their team
its a super complex situation and both sides are fucking monstrous, but inside either country it becomes real simple: the other side legitimately might end specifically my life through nothing but random misfortune
outside of that, i don’t see how anyone can think there’s 1 side that’s in the right
Oof. Ngl the recording is pretty telling. But it is just secondhand evidence.
The evidence presented from the recording is: someone said the shrapnel is from a Palestinian rocket." Not, “here are images of the shrapnel, which could only come from Palestinian rockets.”
I haven’t looked at the other evidence though. It could be that this, combined with the rest of the evidence, paints a more complete picture.
This is what I was thinking of looking for. I know in the Ukraine conflict, they typically show rocket debris when going over incidents with rockets, so I was hoping to see some of the supposed debris here.
@DolphinMath@slrpnk.net It looks like the copy/pasta here might run afoul of the rules regarding copyright.
Consider editing it down to make it more concise and be guaranteed to be fair use. The topic is important and I don’t want to just remove it wholesale to eliminate copyright risk.
👶 🛁 🌊
The sound of the munition used in the strike and the size of the explosion is in line with JDAMs used in prior conflicts, not that of a misfired missile: https://x.com/wyattreed13/status/1714338974544625692?s=20
Feel free to compare with the use of other JDAMs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A\_uwzugvv-g
Palestine has recorded MANPADS capability and has demonstrated that capability in the past. IMO the “failed missile” shown looks a lot like a MANPADS in normal operation (primary phase, secondary acceleration phase, detonation phase).
I’ve seen this rumor spreading, but JDAMs are the guidance system and not one specific type of bomb with specific explosion sound. This isn’t the proof you think it is.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Direct_Attack_Munition
Sound is usually caused by the various control surfaces… Which is what the JDAM introduces.
Here’s evidence of an Israeli jet launching flares in a trajectory intersecting with the hospital: https://streamable.com/hchxwx
It’s also evidence that Hamas rockets weren’t even close.
You have a source for the sound claim? Weapons experts seem to disagree with that.
Also, do you have the original source for that steamable link? A random video is pretty hard to verify one way or the other. Context from the original source would be very appreciated.
Twitter “weapons experts” don’t know shit. Basically, if you dropped a big ass ball from the sky, it wouldn’t make much sound at all. Bombs are either equipped explicitly to make sound (as in German bombs circa WW2) or it’s implicit because of control surfaces distorting the air. This only happens at a high enough speed and the pitch and tone of the whistle depends on the control surfaces.
It’s like second year physics lol. The whole point of the JDAM is to add control surfaces to a bomb, so obviously it’s not going to sound like a dumb bomb.
I’m not talking about twitter “weapons experts.”
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-67144061
“So far the findings are inconclusive. BBC Verify has shown the evidence to a number of weapons experts, some of whom say it is not consistent with what you would expect from a typical Israeli airstrike.
J Andres Gannon, an assistant professor at Vanderbilt University, in the US, says the explosion appears to be small, meaning that the heat generated from the impact may have been caused by leftover rocket fuel rather than an explosion from a warhead.
Justin Bronk, a senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (Rusi) in the UK, agrees. While it is difficult to be sure at such an early stage, he says, the evidence looks like the explosion was caused by a failed rocket section hitting the car park and causing a fuel and propellant fire.
Mr Gannon says it is not possible to determine from the footage whether the projectile struck its intended target.
Several experts we spoke to were not willing to put forward a view on what happened.”
Explain the casualty count then? The casualty count has been verified by MSF doctors on the ground in Gaza.
Firstly, I’ve not seen anyone from MSF verify that claim. If you have a source, I’d love to see it.
Secondly, it has been reported that the hospital courtyard was densely packed with roughly 600 people. Unspent fuel from a rocket can add a lot to the overall explosive potential.
I’ll just leave this here with the warning that the “graphic video” shows dead babies and blown up people so you may want to skip that one.
One of the other videos is of the impact. You can clearly hear a projectile before the explosion. I’m not claiming to know who fired it.
If you take The Electronic Intifada at face value, I really don’t know what to tell you. They are one of the most biased news outlets possible in this conflict. I’ve never one seen them once try to understand the Israeli perspective. It’s pure propaganda.
Fore example, their headline for Hamas’ brutal attack on Irsaeli civilians was “Israel-Arab normalization has not eliminated the resistance.”
They should bomb Gaza if it turns out it was Hamas. /s
This will get all the Hamas apologists screaming FAKE NEWS now, wont it. It’s a removed when reality won’t conform to your belief system. Just ask the MAGA crowd.
The IDF still needs to present receipts in my opinion, and I look forward to them doing so.
Nuanced discussion and compassion seem to get lost in all the “righteous” anger surrounding this topic unfortunately.
This is my stance as well. I support the Israeli government as much as I support Hamas, which is to say I do not support either whatsoever. However, if the IDF is able to back up this claim, I’m more inclined to agree with them on this one particular whodunnit
Yet most people on lemmy seem to believe the claim of Hamas, without any proof, because it supports their hate of Israel. This is like the 10th highly upvoted article on the topic, with most comments not even questioning the claim.
It is possible that Israel did it, yes, but we don’t know it yet. IDF and Hamas both killed enough civilians already in a confirmed way, maybe let’s focus our critique on that in the meantime.
The Israeli government claimed responsibility first on twitter then deleted the tweets. It makes the whole thing a lot more sus.
The IDF has also previously bombed hospitals and at least 1 UN run school so it wouldn’t be out of character to do it.
The Israeli government has also stated they consider Palestinian people less than human and intend to level the Gaza strip.
Thanks, identity politics!
They (israel) dropped more bombs in 2 weeks than was set off in afghanistan in a year of american assault.
Why do you think its more likely a jihad mistaken self attack?
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I dont think its impossible, but israel is certainly more likely to be at fault.
And theyve shown it fits their end goals just fine.
A large number of “bombs” being “dropped” does not necessarily indicate indiscriminate killing of civilians. In fact, a large number likely indicates smaller munitions being used for more targeted strikes.
A number of explosives surpassing an american quantity of destructive force over a country restricted down to the size of gaza absolutely implies an increased odds of israel missing a target.
Im not even attributing intent, despite israels eagerness to supply it. Im sure they didnt mean to hit the hospital. I would hope, at least, especially given how poorly its looked for them on the world stage.
Not just a place the size of Gaza, but a place as densely populated as Gaza.
There’s about 15,000 people per square mile.
Emm, you do realise more than 3000 palestine civilian being killed since the israel invasion in respond to hamas invasion right?
Right?
I have read that, yes.
Have you seen the pictures of Gaza recently? Smaller targeted munitions don’t level entire blocks. You’re doing straight up genocide apologia.
I’m following it closely. The photos and videos I’ve seen and the interviews I’ve heard are absolutely horrific.
I wouldn’t throw out the term genocide lightly, but my heart breaks for the innocents. War is literal hell.
They are being genocided despite his reference to you. The goal of the occupier is the destruction of a group of people, either by having them interned indefinitely, by forcing them to leave (again) or simply butchering them.
https://twitter.com/democracynow/status/1713900853818523840
Genocide historian Segal says the intent is there.
I dont think anyone is using the term genocide lightly in reference to this massacre.
I would even argue that genocide will have a shining, bloody example in history books for centuries to come thanks to israels actions.
