• KobaCumTribute [she/her]@hexbear.net
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    6 days ago

    What if helicopter, but, uh, it’s small? Lots of small helicopters!

    Side note, anyone else love that with generative AI computers are finally able to produce shitty CGI renders but worse? Like that picture looks like something that would show up in like a mid '00s “science channel” “”“documentary”“” about hypothetical tech that’s really just a commercial for some arms dealer, but it’s all mangled and fucked up because it can’t even make a shitty CGI render right anymore.

  • Dirt_Owl [comrade/them, they/them]@hexbear.net
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    6 days ago

    Only the dumbest motherfuckers get rich and powerful in the US it seems.

    Ignoring the cringe inducing AI image, there are a few obvious problems with this idea:

    1. Water is heavy and a liquid and it’s movements would throw off a drone balance very easily.

    2. A drone army of 10,000 isn’t big enough to carry the water required. You would need millions of drones to even make a dent in the fire.

    3. If even one of those millions of drones were to crash, it’s lithium battery would be absolutely devistating fuel for the fires because those things are near impossible to put out.

    Sometimes I wonder if these guys are actually this stupid of if they’re pretending.

    • KobaCumTribute [she/her]@hexbear.net
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      6 days ago

      it’s lithium battery would be absolutely devistating fuel for the fires because those things are near impossible to put out.

      This is very tangential since a tiny drone would have burned up long before firefighters could reach it to do any sort of mitigation, but with EVs becoming more of a thing and them bursting into fire being a huge problem, fire departments have actually studied the problem and worked out how to effectively suppress that kind of lithium battery fire: hose down the chassis to cool it enough for someone in bunker gear to cut into the battery compartment, puncture the battery compartment in several places to create a corridor through it (so steam can escape without building up pressure) while water continues to be sprayed to keep it cool enough for them to work, then insert a hose directly into the battery compartment and keep a steady flow of water for several hours until the batteries have discharged and cooled below their ignition point. Turns out lithium car batteries are a lot less reactive than previously thought and you just have to cool them off and get all the stored charge out of them which is a lot faster and uses less water than was previously believed (previous methods were things like “drop the entire vehicle into a modified shipping container full of water and leave it there for two days”), and if done quickly can mean most of the cells inside the compartment never even ignite in the first place.

      I saw a video of a fire department testing and comparing different approaches a couple of months ago, and it was very interesting in a “dry recording of raw data” sort of way.

    • This had me curious enough to do the napkin math

      A single water bomber has about 6,140kg of water/suppressant payload. A single heavy-lift cargo hexacopter drone has a payload capacity of 8.7kg

      It would take 706 drones to exceed one water bomber, but they would naturally be far more spread out and thus far less effective. There is at least 4 water bombers I’ve seen deployed to California, so at 2,800+ drones, it would be one of the single largest drone performances ever and probably about as effective as pissing on it

      • GalaxyBrain [they/them]@hexbear.net
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        6 days ago

        I guess you could remote pilot a water bomber and call it a drone but that seems pointless. With multiple drones using that little water the heat from the fire would evaporate I would guess all of it. You’d get a nice steam cloud at best. Probably fuck up a lot of drones in the process what with the heat they’re flying over and all that steam, neither are great for electronics that aren’t nearly as well protected as on a damn plane and also on a plane aren’t absolutely essential, at least the plane becomes a glider

        • TheDrink [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          6 days ago

          If you really wanted to maybe a fleet of Predator drones with their payload swapped out for water tanks could work, but it just seems to me that automatic piloting is a solution searching for a problem here. It’s not that we can’t dump the water on the fire it’s that we’re low on water for many reasons and low on firefighters for many more and the rate and size of wildfires are increasing every year for a third bunch of reasons.

          • GalaxyBrain [they/them]@hexbear.net
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            6 days ago

            That is for sure the biggest thing, why drone? Using drones doesn’t have any benefit let alone the potential downsides. I guess maybe using them for closer recon for where best to send the planes isn’t the worst idea.

            I think a decent amount of people think of technology like it works in civ or like Pokémon evolutions, manned plane is lower on the tech chain than drone so when drone is unlocked it replaces all your plane units with drones and drones are better than planes in every category. It seems to be a very linear and fatalistic fantasy. Technology is just applied science and it’s silly to believe that the end result of newer science is gonna replace our already existing solutions to already solved problems. Scientists aren’t working on solved problems.

            • TheDrink [he/him]@hexbear.net
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              6 days ago

              when drone is unlocked it replaces all your plane units with drones

              made me think of Factorio where I tried to swap my first factory to all drones and it was a terrible idea

              Satisfactory gets the same idea across interestingly enough. Drones are good for small amounts of finished product cuz they can take it wherever without clogging up your railroads, but other than that they’re kinda useless.

              • GalaxyBrain [they/them]@hexbear.net
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                6 days ago

                I wanna play some of those kinda games but also my job is incredibly logistics based. Working expo in a kitchen is amazingly similar to playing Papers Please but also cooking. Sorta enjoying solving these kinda things under pressure is why I’m good as hell at it but it means I’m less inclined towards it in my free time

    • bishbosh@lemm.ee
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      6 days ago

      Honestly that’s probably best case scenario, as we would already have thousands of ready drones in the imitate vicinity. Even if emptied from previous efforts, the drones would instantly know the loss of one or more drones need to be doused, and we can deploy another 10000 or so to solve the problem quickly and cheaply.

      • happybadger [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        6 days ago

        Those 10,000 then fly blind into an area with high winds that creates its own weather system, can melt them, and that flings flaming particles for miles through the air. That’s playing Russian roulette with 10,000 more rounds in the gun-hubris gun.

          • happybadger [he/him]@hexbear.net
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            5 days ago

            Our only other options are trans-gun, the-doohickey, or automatic rifles. Apart from the gun that changes your gender none of them are adequate for Russian roulette.

        • bishbosh@lemm.ee
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          6 days ago

          This is a false comparison, with the trivial axiom that less than half the drones are “loaded chambers”, to use your metaphor, we could simply plot the asymptotic trend and find the number of drones at which it would be statistically impossible for the fires to not be covered. I’ve already spent all my image generation credits, so I can’t provide a visual, but trust the logic is sound.

          • The_Jewish_Cuban [he/him]@hexbear.net
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            5 days ago

            How many drones make it statistically impossible?

            The point about fleet maintenance wasn’t really covered and “build more” doesn’t seem as logically sound to me as you present it.

            Edit: if we’re upping capacity significantly wouldn’t it also reason to increase the air fleet size of normal water tankers instead? I can’t see how this is an improvement over such a vehicle. 10k things to go wrong and maintain.

      • TheDrink [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        6 days ago

        deploy another 10000 or so to solve the problem quickly and cheaply.

        I think you underestimate the cost of 10,000 drones and the infrastructure required to maintain them and refill them with water after every sortie.

    • UhhhDunkDunk [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      6 days ago

      I don’t know all the details/specifics but USA wildland fire crews do have drone crews that use drones for mapping purposes- to aid direction of resources on ground, and monitor conditions. As you would imagine there are extensive bureaucratic procedures for any event where a done goes down/loses control/etc, it does happen- but my understanding is that it is never/rarely catastrophic failure.

  • They had 747s to dump water (not technically water but I’m calling it water to avoid waltzing around the slur filter) to carry 70,000 liters of water to fight fires. I’d be shocked if a single drone could even carry 1 liter of water. They don’t have these anymore because the 747 was owned by a private company who went under and sold it to an airline.

  • PKMKII [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    6 days ago

    Some quick searching shows that the heavy duty cargo drones top out at about 480 lbs of payload. At 8.33 lbs per gallon, 480 lbs of water is about 57 gallons. According the Wikipedia the smaller end of aerial firefighting planes hold about 800 gallons. So you’d need 15-16 of the most heavy-duty drones to match the output of one plane, and of course it’s simpler and quicker to refill one large tank than fiddling with 16 smaller ones.

    • keepcarrot [she/her]@hexbear.net
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      6 days ago

      The thing that would probably get cheaper is pilot costs. At least here, a pilots licence is about 200 times a commercial drone licence, and I assume insurance costs would come down due to not actually putting people in the air.

      There’s also an advantage to having more eyes in the sky to spot smaller fires breaking out, and potentially putting them out with a smaller payload.

      I can see it having its uses, but the main use would be selling drones.

    • regul [any]@hexbear.net
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      6 days ago

      Also, fixed-wing aircraft can still take off even if their thrust-to-weight ratio is less than 1, because they generate lift from forward motion.

      Basically you sacrifice accuracy for capacity, but with the unpredictability of winds over wildfires, I doubt how much accuracy you’d truly gain using a drone.

        • TheDrink [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          6 days ago

          I don’t think there’s a particular reason why you couldn’t equip a 737 with the remote controls of a Predator drone and fly it like that, but the question is would moving the pilot from the cockpit to a ground-based control center be worth the cost of R&Ding such a system.

  • Torenico [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    6 days ago

    Alright I got an idea. See those FPV drones used in Ukraine? Same principle but instead of strapping an old RPG-7 warhead to it we put small water balloons and then we smash the drone into the fire. That’ll work out just fine.

    Everything but solving the core issues plz