Russia Regains Upper Hand in Ukraine’s East as Kyiv’s Troops Struggle
www.nytimes.com
Ukrainians are weary, short of ammunition and outnumbered, and their prospects look bleak. “We can stop them for now, but who knows,” one soldier said. “Tomorrow or the next day, maybe we can’t stop them.”
    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
      19·
      10 months ago

      I think it’s possible that it will effectively be over this year. The west is now tapped out, and things are heating up in the Middle East as well which will further divert resources from the war. There is no chance that Ukraine can keep the war going on their own. The big question is how Ukraine will collapse. The two most likely scenarios I see is that the government implodes or that there’s gonna be a military coup and a surrender.

      • starkillerfish (she)@lemmygrad.mlEnglish
        12·
        10 months ago

        same thoughts. it will likely end this year if westerns support continues to be non-existent and ME conflicts escalate. coup and surrender is also most likely scenario. i also imagine there might be a major offensive from the russian side to force ukraine’s hand.

        • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
          11·
          10 months ago

          Yeah, that’s pretty likely. Russia seems to mostly be doing shaping operations right now, and forcing Ukraine to spread their remaining forces across a wide front.

          Eventually they’re going to make a breakthrough somewhere and at that point we’re likely to see a major offensive.

    • Large Bullfrog@lemmygrad.mlEnglish
      15·
      10 months ago

      I’m guessing that Ukraine will probably hold out for about as long as the Confederacy in the American civil war. The failed counteroffensive could in lot of ways be seen as Ukraine’s Gettysburg.

      • ComradeSalad@lemmygrad.ml
        9·
        10 months ago

        At least Lee didn’t telegraph Washington and inform that that his troops were going to attempt an encirclement of the Department of the Susquehanna and the Union defensive lines in Maryland.