The right wing cranks have been talking about it for a few years. It’d be an amazingly stupid decision to start a border war with a neighboring ally when they also want to have a war with China
The USA needs to pressure test US command structures, communication tools, ground tactics, etc. The border with Mexico is the safest place to do this, both tactically and strategically. Propaganda is strong against the cartels, the troops are domestically stationed instead of stationed in a host country, the Mexican army isn’t strong enough to resist much, and the European world sees Mexico as a backwater.
This is part of the ramp up to hot conflict with China.
Amerikkkan soldiers high off their “victory” (an insurgency is still ongoing) over Mexico when they see 400000 PLAGF nanodrones descend on their humvee right as a hypersonic levels their FOB:
To be honest, war has changed quite a bit against Afghanistan. I’m sure they do have plenty of things to test. Though, this is all pointless in the big picture, as Mexico is by no means a “peer” enemy. It wouldn’t be anything like fighting Russia or China.
Any country that’s “hostile” to the “international community” that doesn’t also have a healthy budget towards developing or acquiring Lancet type weapons is being run by maniacs.
I’m not sure, exactly. Possibly because it was all about having a forward operating base against China they couldn’t test certain things without exposing themselves to Chinese intelligence. Fighting domestically allows them to do so without revealing as much.
Presumably lithium has something to do with it but I guess they could be quite honest about their intentions as given but the rest of the military-industrial are going with it for lithium. Plus a chance to blow up assets and free up stuff for profits, I dunno
Given the US’s tendencies to get involved in military adventures, it seems like a possibility, but at the same time, directly invading Mexico is quite far from their MO and I don’t think their army is built for such a type of war.
Odds of Trump invading Mexico to coup Sheinbaum using the pretext that she is assisting terrorist organizations in Mexico? I’d wager my meager savings on it.
There are only two outcomes, the US eats shit super hard and barely makes it to the outskirts of Monterrey, or it steam rolls the entirety of Mexico in some Iraq 2003 style scheme that most likely involved paying off the entire Mexican military
What are the odds he invades Mexico to fight the cartels he just labelled as terrorist organizations?
The right wing cranks have been talking about it for a few years. It’d be an amazingly stupid decision to start a border war with a neighboring ally when they also want to have a war with China
The USA needs to pressure test US command structures, communication tools, ground tactics, etc. The border with Mexico is the safest place to do this, both tactically and strategically. Propaganda is strong against the cartels, the troops are domestically stationed instead of stationed in a host country, the Mexican army isn’t strong enough to resist much, and the European world sees Mexico as a backwater.
This is part of the ramp up to hot conflict with China.
How the hell was 20 years in Afghanistan not an adequate pressure test?
Because it yielded the wrong answer.
They need a win to build morale before going for the prize, I guess.
Amerikkkan soldiers high off their “victory” (an insurgency is still ongoing) over Mexico when they see 400000 PLAGF nanodrones descend on their humvee right as a hypersonic levels their FOB:
To be honest, war has changed quite a bit against Afghanistan. I’m sure they do have plenty of things to test. Though, this is all pointless in the big picture, as Mexico is by no means a “peer” enemy. It wouldn’t be anything like fighting Russia or China.
Any country that’s “hostile” to the “international community” that doesn’t also have a healthy budget towards developing or acquiring Lancet type weapons is being run by maniacs.
I’m not sure, exactly. Possibly because it was all about having a forward operating base against China they couldn’t test certain things without exposing themselves to Chinese intelligence. Fighting domestically allows them to do so without revealing as much.
So you’re saying it will definitely happen
I mean… looks like they will.
Presumably lithium has something to do with it but I guess they could be quite honest about their intentions as given but the rest of the military-industrial are going with it for lithium. Plus a chance to blow up assets and free up stuff for profits, I dunno
Given the US’s tendencies to get involved in military adventures, it seems like a possibility, but at the same time, directly invading Mexico is quite far from their MO and I don’t think their army is built for such a type of war.
while im sure theyre ideologically stupid, i can’t imagine mexican-americans in the US army being ok with something like that.
Not very high, in my opinion.
Odds of Trump invading Mexico to coup Sheinbaum using the pretext that she is assisting terrorist organizations in Mexico? I’d wager my meager savings on it.
There are only two outcomes, the US eats shit super hard and barely makes it to the outskirts of Monterrey, or it steam rolls the entirety of Mexico in some Iraq 2003 style scheme that most likely involved paying off the entire Mexican military