Gaming it out on 270towin.com, assuming Harris takes NV, WI, and PA and Trump gets NC, GA, and AZ, that might make the whole election hinge on Muslim voters in MI.

Not an enviable position to be in. If they go third party or abstain and throw the election to Trump, Blue MAGA will jump at the excuse to be more racist, and if they hold their nose and vote for Kamala they have to live with the fact that it won’t do anything to stop the genocide.

I’m thinking the democrats lose at least the senate and possibly the house to boot, so domestic policy is going to be a write-off (not that the dems have a ton to show for the last four years)

It’s gonna be down to the wire imo.

Kamala has lost steam and there’s such desperation from the voteshamers that I think most of her supporters have at least some degree of latent awareness that she isn’t capable of drawing in support outside of her base, either to the right of her or to the left.

Donald is low energy but almost all of his base is willing to hold their nose and vote for him, which drives the Blue MAGA crowd wild with envy. I really don’t look at that end of US politics much at all because it’s gross and I don’t have the stomach for it, plus it achieves nothing whereas there’s a chance I might be able to peel off the occasional progressive whereas conservatives are low yield per input so my take is that it’s a waste of time focusing on them. (Don’t get me wrong I’ll agitate anyone opportunistically, even a diehard Trump supporter, but I’m really not focusing my energy on honing my rhetoric and hooking in to their primary concerns because there are much easier targets out there.)

I think in it being such a close race it’s probably going to come down to one of those key states falling to one side or the other and who really knows which way the chips are going to fall in that situation?

If Trump wins I think he’ll lose the popular vote though.

If this happens, I’m going to blame the Dems for how they had the opportunity to abolish the electoral college, to make the presidential election a popular vote, and establishing ranked-choice voting to instead push through military aid and financial relief to support the genocide in Gaza as their top priority which means Joe Biden chose this and now we have to respect that choice and live with the consequences of it because Biden and Harris didn’t want to listen to the voter base.

Me

it’s her turn

Obama rigs the election

In Trump’s favour

Michelle Obama 2028

It’s gonna be Kamabla and it’s not even close.

1. The job of the USA president is to look good on TV. That’s literally the entire job. Or at least to not look like a complete fucking idiot. You can bomb a hospital like Obama did, you just have to look presidential while doing it. Kamabla is the perfect candidate because she puts a progressive face on a genocidal empire.

2. Americans yearn for brunch. They don’t care that the horrors will continue happening. They just don’t want to hear about the horrors. They think “if we elect adults in the room, then we no longer have to hear about all the horrible shit that our country is doing.”

3. People want to feel good about themselves. They want to feel like their country has a future. Electing the first woman president, who is also a POC, is a feel-good story. When USA does horrible things, it allows libs to say “This is not my fault, I voted for the black lady.” She is a part of an oppressed minority, therefore it’s physically impossible for her to be a genocidal oppressor who does the same shit as all presidents before her. Get ready for Woke Fascism™.

Harris is very evil and unlikeable but she just can’t lose to Trump. The boy’s lost his moisture. He just ain’t got it in him anymore. I honestly think Hillary would beat him at this point. He was getting pretty pathetic before the assassination attempt and he can’t stop shitting his pants ever since

If the US has enough collective decency and humanity (ie. people voting 3rd party or abandoning the farce of electoralism entirely) Trump will probably win. Admittedly I don’t have faith in that, so I’d probably expect Klanmala to win (though it could go either way).

Disregarding morality and decency- they’re still both absolutely terrible, but if the YanKKKees were a sensible lot (lol), even if still shitty as always, they would probably vooot for Trump to at least try to throw a wrench in the WW3 machine. I have absolutely zero confidence in the collective US’ intelligence, so ultimately I don’t think this will factor in in any particularly meaningful way, though.

Capital

I really think we will end up with Harris but only because Trump just isn’t funny enough this time. He’s lost touch tbh

Harris wins popular vote, if it comes down to 1-2 states that are particularly close GOP will rig it like 2000 and Trump wins.

Assuming a Harris victory, Dems lose either house or senate, for the next 4 years fascist Harris supporters explain that she could have solved all the world’s ills if only you’d voted harder. All the while migrants and LGBT people are put into camps in any states controlled by Republicans, Dems do nothing to oppose this.

Democrats are acting way too confident, It’s gonna be 2016 all over again.

half of the guys who voted for Trump in 2016 want to kill him now so probably Kamala

Plot twist: It’ll be some random corn farmer from Iowa who runs as an independent and inexplicably gets 69% of the vote.

It’s gonna be Hitler+ and it’s going to come down to Georgia, which just got some fucked voting rules installed. Election officials have to hand count everything before a certification date, and no one knows what happens if they exceed that date.