• alcoholicorn
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    9 hours ago

    Harris may have 8 of the 13 keys, but she only has 48 of the 99 screws

    • InevitableSwing [none/use name]@hexbear.netOP
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      9 hours ago

      I forgot all about that guy and his keys! I googled.

      ‘I admit I was wrong’: Allan Lichtman explains why his election prediction failed

      • Lichtman attributed the inaccurate prediction to factors like disdain for the Biden administration and Harris’ late campaign start.

      • Despite the miss, Lichtman stands by his “13 Keys to the White House” system, emphasizing its long-term accuracy.

      • He also criticized Nate Silver’s polling-based prediction model, suggesting it relied heavily on chance.

      Buy my book! It will help you predict a coin flip. Perhaps wrongly but still…!

      This made me laugh.

      “I don’t think I called any (keys) wrong,” Lichtman said. “The contest key was rendered problematic by what went on by the Democratic Party but I don’t think you can say I called it wrong except for in retrospect. At the time it was the more reasonable call.”

      I’m stealing “render problematic” and “[My logic was not wrong]” and “I don’t think you can say I called it wrong except [in] retrospect”.