First major cauldron in Donbass is almost formed along the Severodonetsk-Zolote line. All the major roads leading in there are within artillery distance already and are close to being actually cut off. Reports are between 10-20k troops in that pocket and UAF alledgedly still sending more men in there (though that’s hard to believe). Could possibly be split into two pockets - one around Zolote/Hirske and one around Severodonetsk/Lysychansk.

More pockets forming south of the Popasna-Bakhmut line and around Avdiivka. Lyman is apparently surrounded from 3 sides, while the UAF have blown up the bridge across the river to their backs, so forces there are already or are about to be trapped.

Rough map for all of this

Some videos of small level mutinies have popped up over the past days and weeks in that area already. We’ll see how the Azov surrender and some pressure on the cauldron will affect those numbers.