How did we get here?

Russia continues advancing in Ukraine, with Russian troops nearing the strategically significant city of Pokrovsk in Donetsk. Capturing Pokrovsk would mark Russia’s most notable military gain since the onset of trench warfare in eastern Ukraine, potentially enabling further advances toward Kramatorsk, an industrial hub with military production capabilities.

Russia has occupied around 1,000 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory since February, and the rate of advance is accelerating. The looming military victory makes it increasingly unlikely that Russia would agree to a settlement. Meanwhile, Western optimism about Ukraine’s chances has waned, with financial and military support dwindling.

  • Sodium_nitride@lemmygrad.ml
    5·
    2 days ago

    Why would Putin agree to a peace deal if he thinks he can win the war?

    Because a peace deal is the only way to eventually end the war, unless the Russians fully occupy Ukraine (which won’t be happening).

    Putin will almost surely demand an unfreezing of Russia’s reserve assets. This is a potential deal breaker for the Europeans. Unwilling to make any fiscal sacrifices for Europe, the Europeans had been hoping to plunder the $300bn pot of Russian reserve assets

    Lmao just saying the quiet part out loud. Did any other country ever get the privilege of playing European foreign reserves as a way of rebuilding from colonialism?

    The financial burden is so large that it would either have to be funded through debt, through taxes, or through cuts in social services. I don’t think the Europeans would voluntarily agree to do any of these things.

    Well no worries here. The dictatorship of capital will come to the rescue.

    Macron would, if left alone, be one west Europe’s most effective supporters of Ukraine, but he is hampered by the political chaos in his own country

    And also the unravelling of the French empire in Africa.

    Europe was dependent on Russian gas and oil. Some of these dependencies persist to this day.

    Delinking from Russian gas fully was a pipe dream

    We have put ourselves into a position where Trump is our best hope to end the conflict. How did it come to this?

    By being imperialist/liberal pieces of shit, and terminal failures. How else?

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆OP
      6·
      2 days ago

      Russia will dictate terms for whatever deal happens, so the real question is whether the US will accept the terms Russia offers. I strongly suspect that they will, but they’ll try to find a way to not have to admit that they got defeated.

  • INHALE_VEGETABLES@aussie.zone
    515·
    3 days ago

    This is some Russian cope.

    Would you really call it a win?

    They occupy maybe 40 or 50 square kilometres of ukraine if you include Crimea, but lost about 130 square kilometres (lol bye Syria) and NATO is on their fucking doorstep which is what they really wanted to avoid all along.

    GG lmao.