Don’t think I need to summarize this one. This is bad news for everyone.

  • El_guapazo@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    Basically it’s too late to stop the process. Even if we switched to renewables entirely, there will be a lag. That lag is now in a positive feedback loop.

      • 👍Maximum Derek👍@discuss.tchncs.de
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        1 month ago

        I remember some of the early research showing this when I was in college in the late 90s/early 00s. It’s mostly following the worst-case scenario models from the time, except 50 - 80 years ahead of schedule.

        • Sanctus@lemmy.world
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          1 month ago

          Whether you can risk it or can’t. Its time to disobey our leaders. They dont care. They’ve built protections for themselves. They plan on feeding us to the storms.

          • FartsWithAnAccent@fedia.io
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            1 month ago

            There will be no protection or escape from the environmental changes we’ll be facing, this is not something you can just wait out in a bunker.

            • Sanctus@lemmy.world
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              1 month ago

              Yep, they’ll let the climate kill all of us. Because they won’t truly be living either down there. I’m sure all the training courses for guard loyalty in the world won’t actually do shit when you’re physically down in a bunker without hopes of coming out.

              • Akasazh@feddit.nl
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                1 month ago

                They actually need us to do the shit jobs though. It’s the ancient tale of the hubris of monarchs we somehow keep electing

        • omgarm@feddit.nl
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          1 month ago

          I started watching The Nanny a few days ago (have seen a lot on tv, but never everything) and in one of the first episodes they make a joke about being worried about Global Warming. It was lighthearted, not very serious. That was 1993.

      • themadcodger@kbin.earth
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        1 month ago

        If only we knew about this 50 years ago, surely we would have done something!

        Big Oil: side eye Muppet meme

    • Fugtig Fisk@feddit.dk
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      1 month ago

      Not to mention the tipping point where it is no longer reversible. And even worse, the huge effect that the current has on basically the whole of the globe!

  • ebolapie@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    earlier than initially projected

    There’s that phrase again. If only someone had warned us loudly and repeatedly.

      • freddydunningkruger@lemmy.world
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        30 days ago

        Well, a lot of people didn’t vote because they believed the genocide/both-sides-are-the-same bullshit, and now Republicans control Congress, the Presidency, and the Supreme Court. But no worries, they are very well-known for their stewardship of the environment, so don’t fret.

        • DeadWorldWalking@lemmy.world
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          29 days ago

          The biggest shift was in older white and Latino men feeling too insecure to vote for a woman and staying home

          Young people voted the same as always, despite the class war propaganda telling us otherwise

          • BrundleFly2077@sh.itjust.works
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            30 days ago

            What are you doing, pal? Maybe stop howling at strangers to do something and calmly explain what you think they should be doing… especially if you can point sincerely to your example.

            You’re very noisy but not very informative. It’s not endearing.

            • HasturInYellow@lemmy.world
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              30 days ago

              I genuinely think we should gather anyone with assets worth more than $1 billion and public flay them. On live TV. Make the message, “if you want to be a piece of shit, we’ll treat you like one.”

              See how long it takes for people to stop wanting to be billionaires.

                • Flocklesscrow@lemm.ee
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                  30 days ago

                  Tbf, the average billionaire negatively impacts the environment on a level that is hard for people to comprehend. Most people are really, really bad at understanding volume and scale. Like the difference between a millionaire and a billionaire.

                  Example: In 2023, 50 of the world’s richest billionaires took an average of 184 private jet flights per year, emitting as much carbon as the average person would in 300 years. Elon Musk’s two private jets alone emit 5,497 tonnes of carbon dioxide per year, which is equivalent to 11 average people’s emissions in their entire lifetimes.

      • JoeBigelow@lemmy.ca
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        30 days ago

        Slipshod, meaning the terrier did a poor job shoeing a horse

        PedantaMan AWAY!!!

  • TheDemonBuer@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    So, what does this all mean for us? It means we have even less time to get our act together. Reducing emissions isn’t just a good idea — it’s crucial.

    I don’t think this will motivate countries to dramatically increase emissions reduction efforts, but I think it will motivate countries to begin geoengineering. Geoengineering is cheaper and easier than rapid emissions reduction, and the results are more immediate. Yes, it doesn’t solve the core problem, which is the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere, but it treats the symptom, albeit temporarily. Why put a lot of time, money, and effort into fixing the core problem when you can spend comparatively less time, money, and effort just treating the symptom? Then you can just pretend the core problem doesn’t exist and go about business as usual.

    Edit: sorry, I should have added the /s.

    • NocturnalMorning@lemmy.worldOP
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      1 month ago

      I don’t think you realize what a collapsed ocean current means for us. This is existential, not business as usual. Anything we do from here on out that isn’t in service of stopping this is signing our species death warrant.

      • AA5B@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        Haha fricking euros enjoying their moderate climate - wait until they find out what’s real Midwest winter is like. And they want to take my truck and my gas stove? Eff them.

        /too many conservatives probably

        • barsoap@lemm.ee
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          1 month ago

          I’m way more worried about mean sea level raising above much of our lower elevations. We’re already raising dikes, also making them wider so they can easily be made even higher in the future, accounting for the most pessimistic of projections, but you can’t really keep water out with dikes when the sea is pushing groundwater up. You can do it like the Dutch but if their pumps ever fail they’re royally fucked. Electricity, availability of huge amounts of energy in general, is not something you want to rely on in these matters if you can avoid it.

          We’re probably going to end up with large areas of salt march interspersed by towns on mounds and a couple of lakes to construct those mounds, the dikes only making sure that they’re high, not low, salt marches – not elevation-wise but regarding how salty they are, how often they get flooded. The alternative would be to give up the marches completely and knowing our Frisians no that won’t happen. Barley and sugar beets are naturally salt-resistent, btw, more plants are getting bred for it. Not to mention tasty veggies that allow you to retire your salt shaker

          tl;dr: Wat mutt, dat mutt. Imagine Sisyphus happy.

      • Mannimarco@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        I’m pretty sure that’s already signed, let’s be real, nothing is going to happen, we’re fucked

    • ignirtoq@fedia.io
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      1 month ago

      Geoengineering is cheaper and easier than rapid emissions reduction

      I don’t know if your whole comment is sarcasm, but every part of this statement is wrong. We are in the very, very early stages of developing the technologies needed for the level of geoengineering required to mitigate what we have already done to the environment. To roll it out to the levels needed would be far more difficult and expensive that converting our entire way of life to renewables, which should really say how hard and expensive it would be given how utterly daunting of a task full conversion to renewables is.

      Now, putting in token investment and paying lip service to geoengineering, that’s cheaper and easier than switching to renewables. But that’s not even treating the symptoms. That’s just your standard con game against the broader population to try to manipulate the conversation.

      • FlowVoid@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        To roll it out to the levels needed would be far more difficult and expensive that converting our entire way of life to renewables

        The cost of geoengineering solutions has been estimated to be less than $5b/yr, which includes R&D. In other words, this is something that the government of New York City (annual budget: >$100b) could easily do alone without any international support, even in the face of significant opposition.

        In contrast, ending fossil fuel use requires significant international cooperation and is regularly stymied by opposing interests. NYC obviously cannot do it by itself.

        So from a pragmatic perspective, geoengineering is definitely the easiest solution. In fact IMO the lack of progress on emission reduction makes it inevitable, at some point some country will weigh the risks of climate change and take matters into its own hands.

        • TheDemonBuer@lemmy.world
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          1 month ago

          at some point some country will weigh the risks of climate change and take matters into its own hands.

          Yeah, I could see that happening. Maybe even the US. Maybe Elon Musk reads a Twitter thread about geoengineering, decides it’s the solution to warming, starts a company called GeoX and convinces Trump and the Republicans to give him and GeoX $5 billion a year, he buys a bunch of jets, fills them with sulfur dioxide and has them fart out a bunch of it around the Arctic every year. GeoX stocks soar, Musk becomes the first trillionaire, and the US federal government has added only a trivial amount to its already vast debt total. It almost doesn’t matter if it works or not.

        • AA5B@lemmy.world
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          30 days ago

          The cost of geoengineering solutions has been estimated to be

          A thought experiment on developing a and maintaining an aircraft fleet to inject dust into the stratosphere. Assuming global cooperation. Assuming that solution works. Assuming you can scale up the dust production without driving up cost. Assuming there are no side effects. Assuming variations in weather don’t trigger war now that there’s someone to blame. Assuming it doesn’t disrupt our food production. Assuming it doesn’t lead to additional extinction events. Assuming -0.3°c over 25 years is enough

      • TheDemonBuer@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        Yes, it was sarcasm. But, I think the push for solar geoengineering, or as some people are calling it “solar radiation management” is coming.

        • AA5B@lemmy.world
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          1 month ago

          Geoengineering is the most expensive, least effective choice. It risks making things worse and it risks triggering conflict over local effects. It’s not a good idea.

          … but it’s starting to look like a necessary one, because we keep screwing up even more

            • AA5B@lemmy.world
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              1 month ago

              Yet all too many still don’t see the need and were actually backsliding. wtf, fellow humans?

    • Rhaedas@fedia.io
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      1 month ago

      You tried, but your tone and wording was off. Some people would state all that fully believing things can continue and we’ll tech out way out of trouble. And we WILL absolutely jump to geoengineering to try and preserve status quo, cost or not. The alternative is to change society dramatically, and that won’t happen voluntarily. And the great news is once we start geoengineering, we dare not stop because the reaction will spike things even worse.

  • Gointhefridge@lemm.ee
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    1 month ago

    Summer homes in Europe go up in value. A new market for winter apparel opens too. Just think to the potential market growth. This is going to make a few shrewd entrepreneurs very wealthy. The planet will suffer, but man think of the money.

  • ouch@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    As a finn, I can live with -40 °C winters, let them come. At least the invading russians will drop dead like flies in the winter. Again.

    • AJ1@lemmy.ca
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      1 month ago

      as a Canadian, I agree totally. -40 is wayyyy more tolerable than +40. I’ll take Hoth over Tatooine any fucking day of the week

      • Valmond@lemmy.world
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        30 days ago

        As someone who whe experienced both-ish, I tend to agree. There is a point where you just get sick when it’s too hot and humid and it’s way worse than being cold. Your system just shuts down and you feel so bad, and if you don’t get away well you die.

        That said, -35° is the coldest I have lived through and without proper clothing it’s not funny being outside! But it beats dying lol.

        • douglasg14b@lemmy.world
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          30 days ago

          Heat pumps work at >100% thermal efficiency.

          Air conditioners dont.

          An air conditioner is a heat pump… That just works in one direction. It uses refrigeration just the same.

          They both rely on creating a thermal gradient between two heat exchangers. And they are both negatively affected by extreme temperature gaps.

          The heat exchanger facing outside with a heat pump must be colder than ambient temperature by a reasonable margin. The opposite goes for an AC. These qualities break down in extreme ranges for typical hardware.

          This also, as expected, reduces the efficiency.

  • Icalasari@fedia.io
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    1 month ago

    Huh. That’s oddly freeing

    “Oh we’re all fucked guaranteed. The stress is gone”

    I mean, still gonna be for eco measures and such, but it’s like a weight is off my shoulders in terms of worry

    • AA5B@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      It’s not freeing. We may have locked in some really bad changes but it can always get worse. It more critical than ever to get a handle on our green house emissions

      • Icalasari@fedia.io
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        29 days ago

        It’s freeing for me in that, “No matter what, we’re at the guaranteed fuck stage. My brain is now freeing up the energy that goes to unproductive worry, and it can now be spared for productive minimization of damage”, which I thought was clear with me saying “Still gonna be for eco measures and such”

  • surph_ninja@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    We need to be coordinating human effort across the globe on this above all else. China’s the only one taking it seriously right now.

    The people defending the US tariffs on imports of Chinese solar panels are engaging in straight up climate change denial. We don’t have time for industry protectionism. Once the currents collapse, food chain collapse will follow shortly.

        • Flocklesscrow@lemm.ee
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          30 days ago

          Re: resource intensive protein sources

          Insect proteins need to move into mainstream. There are enormous amounts of complete protein available for farming and food, but we Westerners are incredibly squeamish and finicky about food. Mostly because of decades of marketing and commercial conditioning.

          For example, dried mealworms are 53% protein by weight.

    • fuck_u_spez_in_particular@lemmy.world
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      30 days ago

      China is better in implementing countermeasures than especially the USA (also looking to the dark future ahead) but if they would take it seriously they would need to do quit a bit more especially driving something like a global CO2-tax, but AFAIK they were the ones blocking such measures (not that other nations are much better). THIS would be effective.