I’ll go first.

I expect this to be the same as 2020, but North Carolina might flip blue.

  • neo [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    18 days ago

    My prediction is at least 2 degrees celsius warming by the end of the century, a thing that whoever wins the US election in 2024 will help accelerate.

  • Ericthescruffy [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    18 days ago

    My funniest prediction I’ve had since like 2 years ago was that Trump wins the election, Biden dies like a day later getting Harris sworn in as a lame duck…and then Trump dies 2 weeks before taking office and JD vance becomes president.

    …I feel like we don’t live in that timeline though. As of right now I think Harris just clinches it with the popular vote and the EC…then we spend the next few months litigating it both publicly and in various courts. Would be wild if the supreme court pulled a 2000 thing again…but I feel like that probably won’t happen.

  • LENINSGHOSTFACEKILLA [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    18 days ago

    Right up until about a month or two ago, I was very convinced Trump was going to take it, but honestly both sides seem less interested in their own candidate and just voting against the other. There appears to be some big enthusiasm among women in places with abortion bans, so that could turn the tide, but also Harris has pissed off everyone vaguely left and essentially every Muslim.

    I’m gonna call it for Trump, but I’m not confident anymore.

    If Kamala does win, I think any sort of J6 shit is out of the question. The petite bourgeois that participated last time realized (due to all the arrests) its not a good idea to piss off the feds, and the dems will put out a biiiiiig show, complete with tanks on the front lawn of the white house, to show how “ready” they are.

    Whoever wins, there will be minor squabbles about how it was stolen, and then things will move on quickly, aside from conspiracy theorists and resistance reddit libs.

      • Sulvor [he/him, undecided]@hexbear.net
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        17 days ago

        Even when there is no prospect whatsoever of their being elected, the workers must put up their own candidates in order to preserve their independence, to count their forces, and to bring before the public their revolutionary attitude and party standpoint.

      • thelastaxolotl [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        17 days ago

        I really don’t get that point - does the American left wing really thing Trump would be a better choice? Do American Muslims think that Trump will support Israel less?

        your problem is that you think people have 2 choices when in really they have 4, vote dem/rep, vote 3rd party or not vote at all. If someone pisses you off they arent owned your vote and honestly you shouldnt vote for them.

        your last 2 points, just shows that people actually have no control over the goverment since its an oligarchic duopoly and not a democracy so why even participate then

        • pumpkinseedoil@mander.xyz
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          17 days ago

          Choice 1: Harris

          Choice 2: Trump

          Choice 3 / 4: Someone who has no chance to win (new parties have to get more influencal at local levels before having any chance to win) = doesn’t change anything about the result = not voting = only a valid choice if you think Harris and Trump are equally bad

          But yes your democratic system really is flawed. I expect Harris to win the popular vote while Trump wins the electoral college but hope for the best - Trump has proven already that he only cares about money (eg tax cuts for rich people)

  • Infamousblt [any]@hexbear.net
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    18 days ago

    The real question is: If Trump wins, will libs start caring about the genocide on Nov 5 or will they at least have the self awareness to wait until Jan 21

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    18 days ago

    the surprising polls i the last day or so are making me think kamala has a chance and i’m not sure it’s a good thing since it’s guarantees that democrats will continue to use minorities to virtue signal and those minorities will love democrats for it.

    • ShimmeringKoi [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      18 days ago

      The darkest outcome. Dems learn that they can get away with mass slaughter, and open genocide becomes business as usual from now until the end of the empire.

    • GoodGuyWithACat [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      17 days ago

      Kamala Harris as President with Republican control of both houses is probably the equation for the most amount of slaughter. Because then you can’t critique Kamala so you can win Congress.

      • eldavi
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        17 days ago

        the republicans will only get the senate; but your point still stands since that have more legislative power than the house.

  • john_browns_beard [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    18 days ago

    I think Kamala wins both the EC and popular vote by a thinner margin than Biden in 2020. Also by some combination of PA/MI/NV being close and taking forever to count, major networks don’t have a projected winner until Thursday morning at the earliest. Trump’s team tries to take like 6 states to court for infinite recounts all the way until inauguration and it’s all we hear about for the next 3 months.

    Funniest possible outcome next to an EC tie is that Kamala wins the EC but loses popular vote, unfortunately for my fellow chaos-enjoyed, that looks extremely unlikely. That might be the only way we ever see the end of the EC.

  • DickFuckarelli [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    18 days ago

    Standard Leftist preamble: I so don’t care.

    I think Trump eeks out a tiny EC lead. Most voters think Orange Man = gooder economy. Coupled with the fact the libs did no coalition building while also pissing off the Muslim vote, and Trump will limp across the finish line. Only caveat: abortion might force some otherwise Trump supporters to stay home.

    Truly a race to the bottom.

    The popular vote will be razor thin - within a percentage point either way. No one will care except for your 24hour news channel of choice.

    There will be no other Jan 6 like action. The first one was too contradictory (I love Trump who loves cops but I hate these cops but I love rules but not these rules… let’s cosplay like out of shape vikings and steal AOCs shoes).

    Trump will die within 2 years of office and it’ll cause a constitutional crisis (this one is just wishful thinking).

  • adultswim_antifa [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    17 days ago

    I am currently thinking it’s going to be a pretty clean Harris win. Ask me again in an hour. I think she’s done everything she can to fuck this up but she still wins due to the very unpopular abortion restrictions and people being tired of Trump as a person.