Im seeing a lot of posts on reddit celebrating Ukraine victories. So what’s actually happening in this war now?

  • Idliketothinkimsmart@lemmygrad.ml
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    3 years ago

    2 things to take into consideration:

    • Us officials estimate Russia still has 80 - 95% battle capacity still at their disposal
    • Ukranian presidential adviser just said Russia has completely destroyed Ukraine’s defense industry

    Have things stalled? Perhaps, I’m not a military strategist, but given the two facts, I’d say no.

    • InvertedMussolini@lemmygrad.ml
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      3 years ago

      Another thing to take into consideration is that by no account is Russia intending on this being like Iraq, Afghanistan, or Vietnam.

      I think it’s quite obvious even to an average observer that Russia could have caused massive S H O C K A N D A W E destruction to Ukraine’s infrastructure but they did not. This doesn’t mean that Russia’s objectives in this offensive are failures, it means that attempting to understand Russian objectives through the lens of US invasions simply does not fit.

      I’d say that it’s most important to focus on the economic moves that Russia is making now and what implications they will have moving forward to the global economy. The fog of war (and propaganda) surrounding offensive is intense and largely impenetrable but what happens on the level of geopolitics and the global economy is easier to trace out and I’d argue that it’s much more important.