That’s one way to look at it. Ofc it could be cope, it’s hard to really tell what the actual situation and the Russian goals and problems are. Fog of war, propaganda and all that.
What’s certain is that Russia announced several times it doesn’t want to occupy Ukraine. A force of about 200k moved in against a standing army of almost equal size with another 400k reserves etc. These numbers are consistent with the goals. It also seems quite clear that they didn’t really try to actually capture the major cities, but just contained them. Had they tried, those places would look like Mariupol. Massive destruction, massive grinding down of troops, material and civilians, so not sure why they’d try to anyway. It also seems to be true that they’re gearing up for a big offensive against the dug in forces in the east.
Why this is happening the way it is is hard to tell. Maybe it is according to plan, maybe the plans have changed. Maybe they really got slapped in the north and are now pivoting accordingly. Maybe it is all cope.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZ32cntgP_8
https://twitter.com/gbazov/status/1508875144952958986
https://twitter.com/RealScottRitter/status/1508813631311466496
That’s one way to look at it. Ofc it could be cope, it’s hard to really tell what the actual situation and the Russian goals and problems are. Fog of war, propaganda and all that.
What’s certain is that Russia announced several times it doesn’t want to occupy Ukraine. A force of about 200k moved in against a standing army of almost equal size with another 400k reserves etc. These numbers are consistent with the goals. It also seems quite clear that they didn’t really try to actually capture the major cities, but just contained them. Had they tried, those places would look like Mariupol. Massive destruction, massive grinding down of troops, material and civilians, so not sure why they’d try to anyway. It also seems to be true that they’re gearing up for a big offensive against the dug in forces in the east.
Why this is happening the way it is is hard to tell. Maybe it is according to plan, maybe the plans have changed. Maybe they really got slapped in the north and are now pivoting accordingly. Maybe it is all cope.