• queermunist she/her
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    1 year ago

    Ironically, the efforts to fight inflation are actually driving dedollarization by making it more painful to borrow dollars.

    Then, because global demand for dollars falls due to dedollarization, inflation necessitates continued tight monetary policy.

    Not looking good for the US.

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆OP
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      1 year ago

      Yeah, it’s fascinating to watch the feedback loops nobody anticipated come into play. The speed at which the world is dedollariziing is absolutely astonishing. And I expect that dedollarization will continue to become easier the more countries do it because all the networks for alternative trade will be in place making it easier for other countries to follow suit.

      • queermunist she/her
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        1 year ago

        Inflation, surprisingly, has slowed down recently. I definitely expected it to continue at an elevated rate forever as dedollarization accelerated. It might just be a false plateau before something else causes inflation to spike again, but if not then this hypothesis (dedollarization is driving inflation) might not be sound.

        • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆OP
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          1 year ago

          I think part of it could be US cannibalizing Europe right now by luring away industry which is creating a short term economic boost we’re seeing.

          • queermunist she/her
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            1 year ago

            Possibly! Which, in turn, would weaken the USs positive relationships with those countries as they’re pressured on multiple fronts (losses from trade competition, fallout from the Russian conflict, growing unrest from within the country) and thus accelerate dedollarization and then inflation. That would take time, though, and require another point of rupture that I certainly can’t predict!