I think judging by the posts on this instance, a lot of people here didn’t think that Russia would take military action against Ukraine. I was one of those people. Hell, even yesterday I wasn’t expecting to wake up to this. But I think it’s safe to say that that position was incorrect.
I’ve read opinions from communists on both sides now that it’s happened of whether the military action was justified or not, but it seems that few are reflecting on the fact that we were wrong about the prediction that there was not going to be military action. Personally, I’m very surprised that this happened. I’d be curious to hear your thoughts.
If the US makes wild claims, and I for the life of me cannot figure out why they would do that, that’s not a good enough reason to believe they’re lying. Thinking the the US govt is making quite specific predictions (which will make them look stupid if untrue) because they lost their mind is just plain bad analysis.
When the Americans are lying it’s usually for an easy to see reason and/or it’s way less easily disprovable.
Other than that it’s that Russia’s economic position must be better than I thought. They clearly think they can’t be sanctioned to shit.
My perception of this situation is that Putin has threatened something bizarrely overkill if they try. I don’t know if this means he intends to nuke Warsaw… how could he do anything comparable to that? So maybe something that big but sub-nuclear? If he attacked a European city with nerve gas, what would be the response to that? His enemies are unwilling to do all-out conventional war, they’d be unwilling to respond in kind, and to use nukes would then be them escalating it and not him.
I think you misunderstand. Russia’s economic position is shit. But Putin doesn’t care about it. If instead you were to ask about Putin’s economic position…