• FortifiedAttack [any]@hexbear.net
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      5 months ago

      Quote from someone I know:

      russia’s going to internally implode before it goes really bad

      they are good at not showing it online but if you take the time to dig into the mere possibility of russia not doing too well, they’re on the brink of integral logistical failure

      all the cold war era public utilities, food production, roads, transportation, etc, have lost all funding / all deviated back to military spending, the country is literally consuming its own lifespan to keep the war going

      last winter they got massive freezes, this spring they got floodings, and this summer they’ll get forest fires

      this is what happens when you conscripted firefighters, public utility workers, and every able bodied male to the military without consideration

      even if russia does take kiyv they will never be able to hold it for more than a year

      They already got the cope for future scenarios prepared.

      • BeamBrain [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        5 months ago

        all the cold war era public utilities, food production, roads, transportation, etc, have lost all funding / all deviated back to military spending, the country is literally consuming its own lifespan to keep the war going

        📽️ 📽️ 📽️ 📽️ 📽️

      • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
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        5 months ago

        LMAO preparing secondary defensive line of cope to fallback on is some real forward thinking right there. It’s such a stark admission that deep down they don’t actually believe anything they said.

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
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      5 months ago

      It is easy to overlook the fact that online echo chambers often do not reflect the broader public opinion. This phenomenon highlights the fact that most of our knowledge about the world comes from secondhand experiences rather than personal encounters. The communities we engage with significantly influence our perception of reality and shape our understanding of the world.

    • Lysergid
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      5 months ago

      Wut? When “liberation” of Russia became Ukraine’s goal? People really say this? Ukraine shall not follow Russia’s book and make imaginary excuses to intervene into other country. I mean, after Russia capitulate of course. At the moment Ukraine can do whatever needed to liberate its territories. Though, having Russian regiments to overthrow regime could increase Ukraine’s security. But I believe Ukraine will have much more important job in Ukraine itself after war.

      • BeamBrain [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        5 months ago

        At the moment Ukraine can do whatever needed to liberate its territories.

        Generally, one needs 3 times the enemy’s strength to take territory. This means that the minimum army you need to take territory is nearly 10 times the size of the army you need to hold it. The current Ukraine army is not even up to the task of holding territory.

        • Lysergid
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          4 months ago

          I’ll assume this is a legitimate question and not “clever whataboutism”.

          Answering your question now. Realistically there are 3 scenarios:

          • frozen conflict
          • peace deal which will last until Russia will want more. Then story will repeat, unless Ukraine will somehow get NATO membership (doubt)
          • change of power in Russia

          Two of them sucks for Ukraine and last one is too unpredictable for whole region if not world