• modulus
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    1 year ago

    To be honest, expectation management started even before spring with UA saying they didn’t have enough weapons. As RU consolidated its defensive lines and military doctrine (deploying large amounts of EW, for example) new releases came out from RUSI and the like pointing out the increasing difficulties.

    I’m not too surprised that the counteroffensive was first delayed, and then managed down. I may be wrong–maybe UA has something ready to make big gains–but I don’t expect large changes until autumn makes operations much harder. Hopefully real, good faith negotiations may be politically feasible by then.