• Owl [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      4 days ago

      It’s not particularly likely on any given month. It’s just a risk our society keeps taking over and over again. If you keep rolling the dice eventually you’ll get snake eyes, but it’s probably not any particular roll.

      Very likely within the next few years, probably not within the next few months, and this will remain true until there’s a bird flu pandemic or we reform or stop animal agriculture.

    • JoeByeThen [he/him, they/them]@hexbear.net
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      4 days ago

      Seems likely, definitely in the next few years. All the cope I’ve seen so far has been rhetoric better suited to years ago. Still waiting on a large scale pig farm to put the nail in the coffin, but there was a kid infected showing a potential mutation for lung-based human to human recently. So it’s looking to happen one way or another.

      • batsforpeace [any, any]@hexbear.net
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        4 days ago

        yeah… on the last death panel ep about it they said last year there was around 60+ cases in the US, where 0 or 1 cases is the normal level and that it might already be going human to human but very slowly right now (but media is reporting that it’s not at all), that there’s some unexplained case in San Francisco, and that if it kicks off it will most likely kick off in the US

        • rootsbreadandmakka [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          4 days ago

          Michael Osterholm says it possible clouds of dust are getting kicked up that have bird feces in them, and it’s possible it’s spreading that way. I sort of don’t think there’s human transmission yet. Maybe a very low level but from what I’ve seen key mutations generally considered necessary for human transmission haven’t been found in any strains yet (although I did see a journal article today saying they found slight binding to human receptors so…). In any case only 3 cases have been unknown exposure so far.

      • Alaskaball [comrade/them]@hexbear.netM
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        4 days ago

        I forget where I heard it but the running joke is that whenever theres a mass-killing of pigs, from a chemical spill is what I heard, theres a massive discount sale of or introduction of new pork products across america.

        anyways, take that but make it chicken I guess

        • JoeByeThen [he/him, they/them]@hexbear.net
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          4 days ago

          There has been BOGO pork tenderloins at my grocery store (Publix) almost constantly for at least the last year. I don’t know if that’s normal or not, but it feels like a red flag.

          • Des [she/her, they/them]@hexbear.net
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            4 days ago

            They just tend to be extremely cheap these days, I think because treatlerites seem to prefer pork chops and butts over literally every other cut. But I have some pretty inside info in this industry so trust me I will light this place up if I notice any upstream trends in the pork world. I have been mildly prepping for a year now. If this pops off around 50% lethality there’s going to be no help coming. We’ll see general services collapse (power, water, etc most places) and hallowed out military units patrolling roads at most.

              • Des [she/her, they/them]@hexbear.net
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                1 day ago

                Nothing wrong with just creating a “disaster kit”. Get a cheap tub and slowly start filling it with critical emergency essentials. Tell your family it’s just for storms and power outages. Wash out some milk or juice jugs and store some water (make sure to swap it out). Buy a little extra rice and beans. Put old camping stuff in it you find somewhere that might have utility. Matches, lighters, lithium-ion charger packs.

                This is basically how I started my own stash. If you have a bit more $ to spare at some point and want best bang for your buck, look up humanitarian or FEMA ration packs online. They are often so inexpensive (like $40 for a case of 10) that it’s probably the cheapest prepared food calories you can buy in the U.S. (that’s $3-4 for 2500 calories that should last five years easily). Bonus the humanitarian ones are vegan so everyone can eat them (and they are each a full day’s supply of calories)

                Because they are vegan they are less popular (and more affordable!) then the meat filled “PATRIOT WHATEVER” stuff and are tasty hot or cold.

                • JoeByeThen [he/him, they/them]@hexbear.net
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                  23 hours ago

                  Lol, I’m in Florida so I’ve got the water and camping equipment down, but great advice, thanks. I’ll definitely check out those packs when I have spare cash. I’d really like to plan for something more long term though. Shit’s wild here and between h5n1, strikes, and just general supply chain fuckery, the future ain’t looking great.

    • nasezero [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      4 days ago

      Idk, but I’m suddenly having the same gut feeling I had in February 2020. I bought a bunch of non-perishable foods at that time, thinking that if it turned out to be a nothing-burger I would just not have to shop for several of my pantry items for a few months. Of course, March hit, and I was very thankful I didn’t need to visit the grocery store for pretty much the entire lockdown, and even when I did it was only because I was getting sick of eating the same things for a month straight.

      Anyways, looks like I’ve got some extra grocery shopping to do this week this-is-fine

      BTW, masks are really cheap in bulk on Aliexpress right now, and bird flu or not, we can be sure that Covid will surge again come spring/summer.

      • Cimbazarov [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        4 days ago

        Yea I was decently stocked up right before the lockdowns by chance, not even thinking I’d need to be. Luckily one of the things I stocked up on was toilet paper because who would’ve guessed that that would be one of things in short supply

    • REgon [they/them]@hexbear.net
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      4 days ago

      There’s already a vaccine, which is something at least. It won’t work for long, with all the antivaccers around, but it’s something.