Country, estimated to be owed up to $1.5trn, is increasing penalties for late payments and cutting back on infrastructure projects

China has become the world’s biggest debt collector, as the money it is owed from developing countries has surged to between $1.1tn (£889bn) and $1.5tn, according to a new report. An estimated 80% of China’s overseas lending portfolio in the global south is now supporting countries in financial distress.

Since 2017, China has been the world’s biggest bilateral lender; its main development banks issued nearly $500bn between 2008 and 2021. While some of this predates the belt and road initiative (BRI), Beijing’s flagship development programme has mobilised much of the investment in developing countries.

But a new report by researchers at the AidData research lab at William & Mary, a public university in Virginia, found that China, the world’s second largest economy, is now navigating the role of international debt collector as well as being a bilateral funder of major infrastructure projects.

  • Pons_Aelius@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    Who honestly didn’t see this outcome?

    China splashes money at developing countries they have little or no ability to repay.

    The money is spent contracting Chinese construction companies to build infrastructure projects of dubious relevance and value.

    So, China loans the money, which returns to China via Chinese construction companies and the countries are left holding the bill.

    I doubt the CCP ever actually expected to be paid back but will hold the outstanding loans over the country’s heads as leverage.

    I also expect that some of the countries involved never had any intention of paying back the loans and are playing the CCP for idiots. Once things get worse internationally they will nationalise the projects and tell China to go fuck themselves with the west’s tacit support and backing.

    • Match!!@pawb.social
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      1 year ago

      the companies are paying the loans back by granting China resource extraction rights which are especially useful to China because their construction companies are already there and the loans are for infrastructure that will help with extraction and shipping

    • cyd@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      So, China loans the money, which returns to China via Chinese construction companies

      This is par for the course in international assistance, not specific to China. Not limited to development assistance, either; most famously, US military aid to many countries around the world is earmarked for spending on US weapons firms.

    • Why9@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      When politics stopped being about helping the country and became more about point scoring and massaging one’s own reputation, it became a breeding ground for wealthy countries like China to swoop in as a lifeline.

      What do I mean?

      Well, imagine you’re a country struggling financially. The new president is sworn in, promising an infrastructure reform, more jobs and prosperity to the country.

      The president then sells the country to China and China comes over and starts developing their infrastructure, builds hospitals and creates a lot more jobs. The president gets hailed as a turning point for the country, the end of corruption. They end their term, get set up for the rest of their life with money, protection etc.

      Then, the next president takes the job, and China says it’s time to pay up. The guy who just sat in his new fancy chair has no idea what deals the previous president made, and realises the previous president made a deal with the devil, sorted themselves out and is leaving the cleanup to the next guy.

      Is there a way out? No, not really. It’s less about whether you owe money and more about who you owe it to. IMO owing a particular country is never a good idea because you could find relations break down between your country and the country you owe and suddenly that debt comes with a side serving of pain.

        • Why9@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Usually when countries are founded.

          Like, imagine a country living under oppression finally gains their independence and can govern themselves. Everyone alive in that country knows how bad things were and the leader they elect promises that they will no longer have to worry.

          Sure they have their challenges but they get on with it and they make it work.

          The person who becomes the leader 3 generations later? To them it’s just a way to gain power, make money and do what they want. They have no idea how people felt when they were being oppressed, and how desperately they wanted to be liberated.

          One of my favourite quotes by G. Michael Hopf summarises this perfectly:

          Hard times create strong men.
          Strong men create good times.
          Good times create weak men.
          And, weak men create hard times.

    • Cit@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Most of the loans are secured by oil or other ressources besides money. So theoretically those lands can always “pay”.

  • Nobody@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    This was always the endgame of Belt and Road. Loan money to countries who can’t afford the payments, then turn them into indentured servants and seize all the infrastructure that was built with Chinese loans.

  • AutoTL;DR@lemmings.worldB
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    1 year ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:


    Lending from Chinese state-backed banks has helped to build railways in Kenya and power plants in Cambodia, along with thousands of other projects.

    To mitigate the risk of future defaults, Chinese policymakers have introduced a number of measures, including reducing loans for infrastructure projects while ramping up emergency lending.

    China has created “a safety net” for countries in financial distress – “and, by extension, their highly exposed Chinese creditors”.

    The AidData report cites figures from the Gallup World Poll which shows that public approval ratings for China in low- and middle-income countries fell from 56% in 2019 to 40% in 2021.

    But the AidData researchers found that between the early years of the BRI (2014-2017) and the latter period (2018-2021), Chinese lenders increased the maximum penalty interest rate for late repayments from 3% to 8.7%.

    Bradley Parks, one of the report’s authors and the executive director of AidData, said: “Beijing is trying to find its footing as the world’s largest official debt collector at a time when many of its biggest borrowers are illiquid or insolvent.


    The original article contains 605 words, the summary contains 176 words. Saved 71%. I’m a bot and I’m open source!

    • nutsack@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      why don’t they just write the whole fucking God damn word it’s permanent record that like a million people are going to see on the internet you can spell out the whole goddamn word it’s a few more letters

  • zerfuffle
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    1 year ago

    What are the odds that the researchers at AidData in Virginia actually speak Chinese? I see this all the time: people who can barely parse the documents that contain actual information make conclusions based on what little information they can parse.

  • dreadedsemi@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Does the US have similar program? I like to compare. But I couldn’t find anything. Maybe US only provided aid and expect international brownies in return.

    • Hillock@feddit.de
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      1 year ago

      No, not really. But that’s more because the government and economy of China and the USA works fundamentally different. The US does a lot of foreign investment. But it’s done by the private sector. Chinese companies aren’t allowed to do foreign investments without approval of the Chinese government. So everytime a “private” Chinese company does an investment abroad, the Chinese government is directly involved.

      The closest would probably be the landlease to Ukraine. All/most of the aid packages have to be paid back. Not necessarily with direct payments but by awarding (re-)building projects to US companies.

      And obviously there is the IMF where the US pays the highest quota to and therfore has the highest voting power in how the money of the IMF is distributed.

    • livus@kbin.social
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      @dreadedsemi the closest is the World Bank group. The US is the largest participant and has the most votes. Similar situation with the IMF which is also quartered in Washington.

    • Sgt_choke_n_stroke@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      This is world news, comparing USA to China will not be tolerated in this lemmy group. Especially with this kind of anti Chinese article