Its def not going to happen, its about as likely as the UK having a civil war over brexit. The US is incredibly stable, none of its institutions are under any threat.
On the other hand, the Soviet Union was in a far better shape than US is right now when it dissolved. US already had serious economic problems before the pandemic, and things got significantly worse now. This is ultimately what’s driving the current wave of unrest.
Meanwhile, the electoral system relies on the public having faith in the integrity of the process. The democrats spent four years questioning the legitimacy of the process with Russiagate, and which helped normalized the idea that the process may be tampered with. This is a dangerous situation since there is very little reason to accept the party you didn’t vote for taking power if you don’t think they won fairly.
Another factor is that mainstream US public has become very tribal across the party lines. Democrats and republicans see each other as enemies, and the parties aren’t campaigning on policy, but rather on rallying their base. This further drives extremism, especially on the right where we now see organized armed militias.
While I don’t know if there would be an actual civil war, I certainly expect civil unrest and violence regardless of which party claims victory during the election.
Its def not going to happen, its about as likely as the UK having a civil war over brexit. The US is incredibly stable, none of its institutions are under any threat.
On the other hand, the Soviet Union was in a far better shape than US is right now when it dissolved. US already had serious economic problems before the pandemic, and things got significantly worse now. This is ultimately what’s driving the current wave of unrest.
Meanwhile, the electoral system relies on the public having faith in the integrity of the process. The democrats spent four years questioning the legitimacy of the process with Russiagate, and which helped normalized the idea that the process may be tampered with. This is a dangerous situation since there is very little reason to accept the party you didn’t vote for taking power if you don’t think they won fairly.
Another factor is that mainstream US public has become very tribal across the party lines. Democrats and republicans see each other as enemies, and the parties aren’t campaigning on policy, but rather on rallying their base. This further drives extremism, especially on the right where we now see organized armed militias.
While I don’t know if there would be an actual civil war, I certainly expect civil unrest and violence regardless of which party claims victory during the election.