That’s surely a very positive development, then? How is imperialism supposed to continue in that new reality? Wouldn’t the US just become any other country with nuclear weapons if it can’t project force the way it currently does?
I’ve seen the counter to this like of thinking in that the US still has military bases all around the world. It sounds good, but I’m also hesitant to believe this until we get rid of those. And the military industrial complex is too valuable to the US economy to get rid of. It provides jobs in basically every state.
That’s a good point, though I don’t think it completely invalidate this theory: an oversea military base and a vassal state are 2 very different things and don’t require the same level of commitment to maintain.
It is a very good development overall, but it does probably mean than the US is going to become even more aggressive than they already are. For the vassals, it’s not going to be fun for either classes. The American loyalists’ influence is going to evaporate at warp speed, that’s guarantied, but it’s not clear who is gonna take their place. As for imperialism and power projection, imperialism is based mainly on unequal economic base development resulting in unequal exchange of wealth, so it’s going to continue until the material conditions of the exploited nations change, US power projection is not going to end but merely change form, the shutdown of foreign aid probably implies the abandonment of the overarching narrative control and color revolution doctrine of regime change in favor to a more covert pre-1960s CIA style approach.
Yes I think their strategy changing doesn’t mean an end to regime change operations and military force against enemies, it just means paying for that with the money saved from aid and subsidies for allies drying up.
Of course this is still good overall, because more nations will become US enemies and the US will become increasingly isolated. Even if countries are successfully bullied into worse positions by the US, they won’t be happy about losing vassalization, and if they are forward thinking they will know that pivoting to being under the stability of BRICS+ is the only sober path forward.
It’s going to get worse for the citizens mperial core and vassals but we could see improvements for people elsewhere at the same time
Its positive in that it likely will shake the neoliberal world apart. Or at least be the equivalent to the death of the Soviets in 91. The concerning thing is that:
vulnerable (minorities, LGBT+, anyone “left”) people within America will be harmed
America will engage in even more genocidal wars
I personally fear that if America starts to lose, especially any civil conflict, that it will willing nuke itself/others out of spite.
Sure all that 3 are possible with any other nuclear/large nation that’s self harming, but #3 really worries me because American brains are incredibly nuke happy. I just can’t see a Soviet style turnover occurring without at least the legitimate threat of some nuclear event.
That’s surely a very positive development, then? How is imperialism supposed to continue in that new reality? Wouldn’t the US just become any other country with nuclear weapons if it can’t project force the way it currently does?
I’ve seen the counter to this like of thinking in that the US still has military bases all around the world. It sounds good, but I’m also hesitant to believe this until we get rid of those. And the military industrial complex is too valuable to the US economy to get rid of. It provides jobs in basically every state.
That’s a good point, though I don’t think it completely invalidate this theory: an oversea military base and a vassal state are 2 very different things and don’t require the same level of commitment to maintain.
It is a very good development overall, but it does probably mean than the US is going to become even more aggressive than they already are. For the vassals, it’s not going to be fun for either classes. The American loyalists’ influence is going to evaporate at warp speed, that’s guarantied, but it’s not clear who is gonna take their place. As for imperialism and power projection, imperialism is based mainly on unequal economic base development resulting in unequal exchange of wealth, so it’s going to continue until the material conditions of the exploited nations change, US power projection is not going to end but merely change form, the shutdown of foreign aid probably implies the abandonment of the overarching narrative control and color revolution doctrine of regime change in favor to a more covert pre-1960s CIA style approach.
Yes I think their strategy changing doesn’t mean an end to regime change operations and military force against enemies, it just means paying for that with the money saved from aid and subsidies for allies drying up.
Of course this is still good overall, because more nations will become US enemies and the US will become increasingly isolated. Even if countries are successfully bullied into worse positions by the US, they won’t be happy about losing vassalization, and if they are forward thinking they will know that pivoting to being under the stability of BRICS+ is the only sober path forward.
It’s going to get worse for the citizens mperial core and vassals but we could see improvements for people elsewhere at the same time
Its positive in that it likely will shake the neoliberal world apart. Or at least be the equivalent to the death of the Soviets in 91. The concerning thing is that:
Sure all that 3 are possible with any other nuclear/large nation that’s self harming, but #3 really worries me because American brains are incredibly nuke happy. I just can’t see a Soviet style turnover occurring without at least the legitimate threat of some nuclear event.