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Tl;dr, AMOC collapse extremely likely (95% confidence) from 2025-2095. So, within many people’s lifetimes.
It doesn’t stop overnight. In fact it has noticeably slowed down already. Of course the process becomes quicker when Greenland freshwater runoff becomes massive.
If the records shattered this year tell us anything, it is that these models are too optimistic. Undoubtedly, this will occur during our lives.
Yeah, I know it’s a bit of a meme within the community. But surely scientists should start modelling in ‘faster than expected’ to get more accurate results.
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That’s a pretty good spread of years, though. Is that something that they can reduce with more data or technological advances?
