• GlueBear [they/them, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    3 hours ago

    60% of your takes are good; 40% are similar to this one you’ve just posted. You’re close but miss some significant points.

    Money doesn’t mean anything if you can’t get fuel. Just bc the demand will be higher doesn’t mean the supply will be there.

    When they lost Russian gas, they lost their biggest source of fuel. No one can replace Russia’s supply, even if the whole of the GCC pumped everything they have it wouldn’t cover what Russia was supplying.

    What would happen is their other major source of fuel would shrivel up if a regional war breaks out.

    America will never be able to cover that additional loss, they can’t even cover the loss of Russia. What will happen is that gas and oil will be even more expensive AND their supply would be cut down to the point of rationing fuel.

    It will only expedite the de-industrialization of the EU.