• GlueBear [they/them, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    1 month ago

    This is true, but the rapid rise in prices for gas and oil will impact every other aspect of their economy. They can’t use nuclear energy for ships, planes, and cars. Unless most of France uses electric appliances, water heaters, and HVAC I think the resulting surge in oil and gas prices will still impact the average French citizen.

    And that energy security from nuclear isn’t guaranteed, the Alliance of Sahel States are much stronger and more united now than they were before. Today they have cheap uranium from niger, tomorrow might not be the case. Should a regional war break out in western Asia, we can assume at least a decade before gas and oil prices/demand go back to pre-war conditions. That’s an optimistic estimate too.

    The loss of industry and shrinking GDP of their neighbors has affected them and will continue to affect them; there’s going to be an increase in EU citizens looking for a job outside of their country. Most people will try their best to stay as local as possible, if a German had to choose between France and the US- you get the point.

    France has a lot to lose economically should a regional war begin, even if it is the most resistant to the effects.

    Edit: France gets majority of its gas from Norway as of the moment, but as for crude oil they receive 2.6B$ worth of crude from Saudi Arabia. I got this from the OEC.