No matter who wins the White House, Europeans should know that Washington is drawing up scenarios for pulling out. They’re not pretty.
  • loathsome dongeater@lemmygrad.mlEnglish
    17·
    2 months ago

    Palpable bloodlust from this guy. His entire analysis is around military spending and the stationing of American troops in European countries. He calls Germany’s welfare state “bloated”.

  • supersolid_snake@lemmygrad.ml
    2·
    2 months ago

    No it won’t, there are so many people to squeeze dry and so many public assets to privatize. Europe would be lucky if America abandoned it.

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOPM
      5·
      2 months ago

      There are two aspects to this. One is political and cultural hegemony that the US enjoys, and I agree that they will want to maintain that. The other part is the material support for Europe, particularly in terms of military support. This is where I expect the abandonment will materialize. The US sees China as a primary threat, and now that the adventure in Ukraine has run its course, the value of Europe has diminished greatly.

      The original plan that RAND outlined was to try and break Russia so that the US could start surrounding China from the west. It’s clear that this can’t happen now, meaning that US will start diverting resources to Asia to bolster their occupation forces in Japan, South Korea, and Philippines. That will necessarily have to come at the cost of Europe.

      There’s also the whole wild card with Israel where a conflict with Iran is still a very likely possibility, and that stretches US resources even further.

      I think that the most likely scenario is that the US will tell Europe that it has to pick up the slack in terms of military. This will still involve buying weapons from the MIC, but US itself will pull back commitments. Europe is basically going to end up being the new Ukraine here.

      • supersolid_snake@lemmygrad.ml
        4·
        2 months ago

        You are absolutely correct. There are aspects where America will abandon Europe. In other aspects, it will stay engaged and destroy it. Part of the reason that America kneecapped the JCPOA is because Europe was getting energy from Iran and part of the reason that America sponsored the Ukraine conflict is because Europe was getting energy from Russia. America isn’t an ally to the noncomprador class of Europe.

        Edit: I do know the theme of the article. I am just supplementing nonmilitary aspects