Scientists tracking the spread of bird flu are increasingly concerned that gaps in surveillance may keep them several steps behind a new pandemic, according to Reuters interviews with more than a dozen leading disease experts.

Many of them have been monitoring the new subtype of H5N1 avian flu in migratory birds since 2020. But the spread of the virus to 129 dairy herds in 12 U.S. states, opens new tab signals a change that could bring it closer to becoming transmissible between humans. Infections also have been found in other mammals, from alpacas to house cats.

“It almost seems like a pandemic unfolding in slow motion,” said Scott Hensley, a professor of microbiology at the University of Pennsylvania. “Right now, the threat is pretty low … but that could change in a heartbeat.” The earlier the warning of a jump to humans, the sooner global health officials can take steps to protect people by launching vaccine development, wide-scale testing and containment measures.

  • Chainweasel@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    23
    ·
    edit-2
    6 months ago

    What do you think the odds are of us getting people who refuse to take the Covid vaccine to take the bird flu vaccine?
    Unvaccinated people become mutation factories and the disease mutates so that the vaccine is no longer effective, that’s why it’s important to have everyone vaccinated to prevent the outbreak from worsening.
    If only 1/2 of people get the vaccine, we’re fucked.
    I firmly believe when it comes to serious medical issues like this, personal freedom of choice can just go fuck itself.
    You don’t want to be vaccinated? Too bad, we’ll tie you down and give it to you anyway.

    • NOT_RICK@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      24
      ·
      6 months ago

      I think H5N1’s 50% mortality rate would do most of the heavy lifting on that front, but people are dumb. Who knows.

      • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        5
        arrow-down
        2
        ·
        6 months ago

        How much would it mutate before it was through getting through those people to the point that the vaccine loses effectiveness? They’re a danger to us too.