Meduza is currently the only major independent Russian news organisation reporting on the war in Ukraine

  • MrSangrief@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Does anyone know what the chances are of Wagner succeeding? Russian’s military has been thinned out greatly because of the war so a concentrad attack behind the main front-lines should be effective. Assuming Wagner has access to Russian army intelligence. This Chechen warband seems like a valid thread though but they also look like the next group to try to grab power…if they crush Wagner, that would be a display of strength that could Putin in a corner as well.

    • joelthelion@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      The Hypermind prediction market currently estimates the chances of Putin losing power by the end of the year at 40%. Hypermind is usually a pretty good source, and I’d say this estimate is fairly reasonable (a bit high maybe?).