Yeah, and there are numerous factors at play. You’ve mentioned people exiting the workforce as if the whole thing had sinister undertones, (almost like the baby boomers retired) but not companies shuttering due to COVID, jobs being outsourced, jobs going part-time to avoid paying out benefits, jobs that disappeared due to automation or AI…the remote work boom, people who chose to go back to school during COVID, retire early, or stay home rather than risk dying. They still measure unemployment how they always have, I am neither fooled nor in need of learning here. There’s an entire argument that the unemployment rate is actually too low right now, contributing to inflation. https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/07/perspectives/inflation-jobs-recession-rubenstein/index.html
Then there’s this Forbes article that talks about the unemployment rate including labor participation rate but includes this bit about the boomers: “This trend was apparent during the 2010s, a decade with a strong economy that saw labor force participation fall from 64.4% to 63.6% as the percentage of the population 65 or older rose from 13.1% to 16.5%.” The point is that it’s possible for the participation rate to fall even though the economy is strong due to demographics.
The overall point is that you can’t just stare at one number and get a complete picture whether it’s participation rate or unemployment but that doesn’t mean they’re “intentionally figuring these numbers in their favor” They paint a rosy picture from accurate statistics and look on the bright side like every administration because consumer confidence is an important indication of a strong economy as well, and it’s good leadership, to be honest. “Lies, damn lies, and statistics” is still a valid point but either party would be touting their low unemployment numbers, as they should. The economy literally gets stronger the more you convince people it’s stronger. The full picture is way more complicated than the unemployment rate, but that does not at all map to “the unemployment rate is doctored.” or even “misleading.” The unemployment rate is what it is…it’s the narrative that’s fudged, not the numbers.
Yeah, and there are numerous factors at play. You’ve mentioned people exiting the workforce as if the whole thing had sinister undertones, (almost like the baby boomers retired) but not companies shuttering due to COVID, jobs being outsourced, jobs going part-time to avoid paying out benefits, jobs that disappeared due to automation or AI…the remote work boom, people who chose to go back to school during COVID, retire early, or stay home rather than risk dying. They still measure unemployment how they always have, I am neither fooled nor in need of learning here. There’s an entire argument that the unemployment rate is actually too low right now, contributing to inflation. https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/07/perspectives/inflation-jobs-recession-rubenstein/index.html
Then there’s this Forbes article that talks about the unemployment rate including labor participation rate but includes this bit about the boomers: “This trend was apparent during the 2010s, a decade with a strong economy that saw labor force participation fall from 64.4% to 63.6% as the percentage of the population 65 or older rose from 13.1% to 16.5%.” The point is that it’s possible for the participation rate to fall even though the economy is strong due to demographics.
The overall point is that you can’t just stare at one number and get a complete picture whether it’s participation rate or unemployment but that doesn’t mean they’re “intentionally figuring these numbers in their favor” They paint a rosy picture from accurate statistics and look on the bright side like every administration because consumer confidence is an important indication of a strong economy as well, and it’s good leadership, to be honest. “Lies, damn lies, and statistics” is still a valid point but either party would be touting their low unemployment numbers, as they should. The economy literally gets stronger the more you convince people it’s stronger. The full picture is way more complicated than the unemployment rate, but that does not at all map to “the unemployment rate is doctored.” or even “misleading.” The unemployment rate is what it is…it’s the narrative that’s fudged, not the numbers.