I see it this way:
- Russia is moving large amount of forces from Kiev and other places to the east, where the most powerful part of Ukraine army is holding near Donetsk.
- In doing so it relinquished control of territories around Kiev and some other places.
- Ukraine is moving large amount of forces from Kiev and other places to the east, probably to Dnepr(city, somewhat to the west of Donetsk.
- Overall, approximately half of the forces of each side will be between Dnepr and Donetsk (probably).
- There will be big battle there (it is already going and will intensify). It may decide the outcome of war.
- It seems that people inside Russia are fairly confident in winning this battle but it will not be easy.
- People in Russia do not know, what are the plans after the battle. Will we stop there? Take east/south Ukraine? Additionaly take central Ukraine (Kiev is there)? Take west part of the country? Nobody knows (except, maybe, leadership).
Well, the view on all this depends on our prediction, what would have happened if we did not start the war.
I think, at least 1.1 is neccessary for formulating opinion about situation.