• DeadHorseX@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    54
    arrow-down
    16
    ·
    edit-2
    11 months ago

    I’m not a libertarian, I’m a social democrat.

    The last century has been a total and unmitigated disaster for Argentina. The two options Argentinians had in this election were:

    1. More of the same by the guy who oversaw inflation reaching 160% (100% chance of things getting worse)
    2. A total wild card (99.9% chance of things getting worse)

    Unsurprisingly, they went for the latter. I don’t think anti-libertarians get to gloat in this context, given it’s the Argentinian establishment which has overseen one of the most remarkable examples of total state-collapse and economic failure in modern history.

    • NoSpiritAnimal@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      31
      arrow-down
      13
      ·
      11 months ago

      This makes a lot of sense if you pretend he didn’t say or promise anything during the campaign.

    • Pipoca@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      20
      arrow-down
      3
      ·
      11 months ago

      The calculation shouldn’t be “chance of things getting worse”, but “expected value of how much worse it’ll get”.

    • ragica
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      12
      arrow-down
      3
      ·
      11 months ago

      I don’t actually know anything. But casually to me it looked like a choice between 160% chance of it getting worse and a 300% chance of getting worse. And it’s not very surprising at all in these circumstances many go for the latter for all sorts of reasons (and delusions). But I don’t actually know anything.

      • DeadHorseX@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        arrow-down
        5
        ·
        11 months ago

        You should probably read at least a little about Argentina’s recent history before commenting then…

    • kromem@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      6
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      11 months ago
      1. More of the same by the guy who oversaw inflation reaching 160% (100% chance of things getting worse)
      2. A total wild card (99.9% chance of things getting much worse)

      FTFY

    • JeffKerman1999@sopuli.xyz
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      11 months ago

      Mate one dude was hearing voices and talks with his deceased dogs…how can you say “wild card” with a straight face?