National has lost 2 seats, while TMP has gained 2, and the Green party has gained 1. NACT now need NZF to govern.
Rachel Boyack has won Nelson by 21 votes, and Phil Twyford has won Te Atatū by 131 votes.
122 seats because of the overhang, which will rise to 123 after the Port Waikato by-election.
Another election is also possible, and I’d say more likely than NZF going with labour. NZF will come around eventually to a deal with National. They know the alternatives could be bad for them. Same for Act