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The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders
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Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah
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Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose
These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren’t bombing an imprisoned civilian population.
Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?
I’ve seen people compare the media coverage of this to propaganda before around the Iraq war, but I feel like it’s already much less one-sided than the calls for invasion were then. I read a Guardian article that made it very clear how horrific Israel’s response has been, and how their treatment of Palestine has been horrible for years. For a major source it was about as pro-Palestine as I could imagine them right now. Even on Reddit, I was browsing some comment sections and there was surprisingly humane discussion about the issue.