• Hyperreality@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    I was right when I said that there wouldn’t be a “red wave” during the midterms, in spite of what the polls said

    The polls didn’t say there would be a red wave. Aggregated polling suggested there was a 42% chance the democrats won at least the house.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/

    Same thing happened in 2016, when IRC polling suggested Trump had something like a 1/3 chance of winning, but media painted a Clinton win being a certainty.

    Be more wary of how the media reports on polling.