I’d bet on this one, since it’s being advertised on r/NCD. It feels like the threadiverse is at kind of a lull at the moment, but once there’s another big wave of discontent and migration, NCDers are likely to end up here first.

The one on shjuwo will probably remain viable though, but will likely end up with a different character due to differences in style and quality of moderation. Like if a meme format gets banned here, people that still like that format will post it on the other community instead. People over there that are sick of that meme format are more likely to switch over here to get away from it. Repeat this a few times and the two communities will be differentiating themselves a lot more.