Donald Trump has given up on most states and has a singular path to victory.

But as Trump’s team noticed: he can safely give up on most parts of this country and still win, even with fewer votes, as long as Trump wins North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Georgia.

So that’s the thing: the only votes that really matter are those three states, unless Harris flips something outlandish like Florida or Texas.

So Harris will be surging in the days and weeks ahead. Trump’s team is focusing on the electoral college win, which gives him and Republicans a distinct advantage. That’s why the race remains close.

These three states are where Trump and his team are spending the most money. So I expect the race to remain close there. Harris has lots and lots of money, she’s already saturated the three main battleground states. She’s got so much money its appropriate for her team to focus on longer-shot / less likely states, to help solidify the electoral college / provide an alternative path in case Trump wins the three main states.