It will be miraculous if Jonas can go toe to toe with pog. There’s way more talent in the tour though, I’m holding out hope it won’t be pog’s playground even with his strength of team. CRod or remco or rog on a good day can give him a scare. Maybe Jorgenson? He’s still on the ascendency. Outside of freak circumstances I don’t believe anyone else has the chops to challenge.

I still think most likely pog wins and UAE get another podium too, but hopefully we see a bit of life in the GC battle before then. Best case Jonas clings on as he races back to form and we get the showdown we dreamed of week three.

Pretty much the same as you! Be interesting to see if it’s going to go like that though. Obvs a Pog Rog Jonas Remco fight is what we want for GC

As far as I would like to see Rigloc on the tip spot in Paris, I believe that Jonas is the only alternative to Pogacar. But we’ll have to wait at least until Galibier to assess his recovery, and even if he performs well, it would not mean that he can compete all the tour.

I don’t see Evenepoel as an actual GC contender, he won a not very contended Vuelta, but he has not proven good enough in other races, specially on the greatest mountains.

I have some confidence on Roglic, I would say that he is a bit below Jonas and Tadej, but he is very competitive and he knows his abilities very well. This year he has focused on the tour and it seems that he is ready.

Also, I like C Rodriguez and Jorgenson, but I think that they stull need another steep up to be able to win the Tour. Anyway, you never know what Visma can do.

For the rest, there are some solid top-10 contenders.

But in the end everything will depend on the recovery of Pogacar from the efforts he made at the Giro and the form of Vingegaard.

Let’s hope to be an entertaining race.

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If he’s not 3 minutes behind after stage 4 I’ll be satisfied. But there’s not shame in riding for a podium, he’s been through a lot this year.