Im talking worst case scenario, something like Station 11 or the movie Contagion
If the bird flu started spreading rapidly from human to human, and it devastated our population as it can in birds or marine life, how long would one have to hole up in seclusion before the virus burned through the population and it would probably be safe to come out.
Obviously, this is not the current situation, and this scenario is a long way from becoming any type of reality. This is just a hypothetical. If turds hit the fan, I dont want to waste time trying to figure this out in the moment while everyone’s ill, and can’t answer.
Move over B’s, I want first dibs on the tp!
Edit: I’m not thinking of a flu, as it behaves in the human population as we know it. I’m talking like zombie virus, without the worry of reanimation. Like, pretty much, everyone that catches it, dies, and it spreads fast and stealthily enough that the end result is a drastically lower population of survivors. How long would a person have to stay isolated to outlive the worst of it.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9524051/
That article is interesting and important but it does not show any causal links between lockdowns and the disappearance.
It is, for example, also possible that it was merely displaced by SARS-CoV2.
I appreciate your close and literal reading of that study. This was new news to me so I looked a bit further. STATnews and others seem to think it was the various lockdown protocols.
No, they’ve got the same information as us. That’s why they explicitly say:
It is still speculation, not data.
I’d tend to agree with the speculation but it’s still speculation.
To be honest, I agree with you that it is speculation, and also that I tend to agree with the speculation. It’s important to note when something is speculative.
It wasn’t the lockdown as much as the masking and hand washing, and especially having sick people self-isolate while they had symptoms.
I consider those measures to be included in “lockdown” but it’s besides the point: The paper contains no evidence that those measures made it disappear, just that it disappeared.
Well the only way to do a study about it now would be to go back and trace all the final known cases, which would probably be impossible since people were avoiding going to the doctor’s office for fear of catching something worse. You have another idea of where it went?
How would it be displaced by SARS-CoV2? Wouldn’t that require cross immunity?
I have no expertise on virology.
What I do know however is that older strands of the same virus typically get displaced by newer strands. In SARS-Cov2 for instance, the strand which infected patient 0 basically died out when the delta variant wave hit in 2021. This is quite obviously regardless of quarantine measures as I’m sure India can attest to.
Again, I am not a virologist but it stands to reason that “healthy humans to infect” is a quite limited supply for other viruses during a pandemic of a virus affecting the same body parts simply due to the fact that so many of them are already infected by the pandemic virus.