In its early phases, Ukraine’s counteroffensive is having less success and Russian forces are showing more competence than western assessments expected, two western officials and a senior US military official tell CNN.
Thing is that most people have an incredibly superficial understanding of what’s actually happening in the war. One common argument that’s been going around is that Russia is failing because Russia hasn’t been capturing territory. The reality is that Russia spent half a year now building in depth layered defences and mine fields while depleting Ukrainian air defences.
It’s pretty clear that Russia expected Ukraine to go on offensive sooner or later, and chose to prepare for that instead of wasting their resources trying to take territory they couldn’t control. Now, we see Ukraine suffering horrific losses while failing to gain any momentum in their offensive. Once the offensive burns out, Ukraine will not be able to easily replace their troops and equipment that the west managed to cobble together for them. That’s likely when Russia will start going on an offensive of their own.
What’s interesting is that while mainstream media keeps feeding people propaganda, actual military people in NATO understand what’s happening. This is an insightful read from a U.S. Lt. Col. Alex Vershinin retired after 20 years of service, including eight years as an armor officer with four combat tours in Iraq and Afghanistan and 12 years working as a modeling and simulations officer in NATO and U.S. Army concept development and experimentation.
Thing is that most people have an incredibly superficial understanding of what’s actually happening in the war. One common argument that’s been going around is that Russia is failing because Russia hasn’t been capturing territory. The reality is that Russia spent half a year now building in depth layered defences and mine fields while depleting Ukrainian air defences.
It’s pretty clear that Russia expected Ukraine to go on offensive sooner or later, and chose to prepare for that instead of wasting their resources trying to take territory they couldn’t control. Now, we see Ukraine suffering horrific losses while failing to gain any momentum in their offensive. Once the offensive burns out, Ukraine will not be able to easily replace their troops and equipment that the west managed to cobble together for them. That’s likely when Russia will start going on an offensive of their own.
What’s interesting is that while mainstream media keeps feeding people propaganda, actual military people in NATO understand what’s happening. This is an insightful read from a U.S. Lt. Col. Alex Vershinin retired after 20 years of service, including eight years as an armor officer with four combat tours in Iraq and Afghanistan and 12 years working as a modeling and simulations officer in NATO and U.S. Army concept development and experimentation.
https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/whats-ahead-war-ukraine