with the german industrial base getting smaller and france’s political gridlock and both trending towards fascism; i wonder what’s going to happen to the eu without them.
up until france’s first round of election, i had always presumed that the eu would be my ultimate home; but now i think it makes sense to stay on this side of the planet.
I expect that the EU will simply cease to exist as a political entity within a decade. It’s only a matter of time until France and Germany end up with a nationalist governments. The political shift will be driven by the declining material conditions. Without France or Germany the whole thing quickly falls apart. Once the EU is gone, European countries will have a choice of either submitting to the US or joining BRICS. I expect we’ll see a mix of that happening.
I really can’t see how Europe can dig itself out of the situation it finds itself in now. The economic fundamentals are just not there, and their biggest ally since the end of WW2 is now turning on them.
with the german industrial base getting smaller and france’s political gridlock and both trending towards fascism; i wonder what’s going to happen to the eu without them.
up until france’s first round of election, i had always presumed that the eu would be my ultimate home; but now i think it makes sense to stay on this side of the planet.
I expect that the EU will simply cease to exist as a political entity within a decade. It’s only a matter of time until France and Germany end up with a nationalist governments. The political shift will be driven by the declining material conditions. Without France or Germany the whole thing quickly falls apart. Once the EU is gone, European countries will have a choice of either submitting to the US or joining BRICS. I expect we’ll see a mix of that happening.
I don’t share your optimism but I hope you are right
I really can’t see how Europe can dig itself out of the situation it finds itself in now. The economic fundamentals are just not there, and their biggest ally since the end of WW2 is now turning on them.
I do agree, I just fear it will take more than a decade
It could, but the pace of events does appear to be accelerating.