• bloodfart
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    6 months ago

    No, I don’t think that. I mean, I think it’s possible, but the effects of a big third party campaign are wide ranging.

    If you want an unarguable example of a third party campaign changing the dialogue on a fundamental level even in the face of a loss, look at perot.

    Not only was his campaign considered not to be a spoiler, but it rendered nafta dead in the water, just waiting for someone to drag it in to shore. There’s a reason no politician since then made it a priority and no media, political or popular support materialized to protect it instead of replacing outright.

    If you’re worried about fascist Biden losing to fascist trump, have you considered what trump being declared the loser looks like? At what point do you stop saying “I was not Palestinian so I said nothing”?

    If you truly feel fear, real existential fear, about Biden losing: stop worrying about voting. It can’t protect you and you’re looking at January 6 electric boogaloo no matter what.

    Take concrete steps to make yourself, your family and your community more resilient, maintain your health and wellbeing, and avoid life altering disruption from whatever is gonna happen no matter who is declared the winner.

    • Custodian1623@lemmy.world
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      6 months ago

      The '96 election was not an existential threat at the level of the '24 election.

      At the margins we have voting for Biden or voting third party will do nothing but prop up Trump’s dedicated voter base. This is your impact. You can hate Biden and still vote for him if it means keeping Trump out of office.

      I don’t subscribe to your belief of widespread violent revolt if Trump loses.

      • bloodfart
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        6 months ago

        I say this a lot and it’s to keep people from wasting their time, not as some attempt to shout people down: I will never vote for Joe Biden again. You cannot convince me.

        Again, that’s not to shout anyone down or be aggressive, but to firmly seat us in the context of an actual Biden voter (you) or a hypothetical Biden voter (someone else).

        Usually when people talk about Perot, they mean ‘92. That’s the one where he was in all the debates and the one that brought nafta into the public eye in a big way. It’s the one that was initially called a spoiler for the republicans but later research proved was a nearly even draw from prospective and past voters of both parties.

        Perot 92 is my favorite example of a third party run in our lifetimes because it shows how that external pressure can deeply change the two parties and was in no way “throwing one’s vote away”.

        No matter if you stay with genocide Joe or decide to walk away from omelas with me, I urge you to reconsider your view that there will be no uprising if trump is declared the loser. If you believe he’s an existential threat, believe that January 6 was an attack on democracy, see project 2025 as a real threat, and recognize that the same base that will vote for trump cannot accept or trust the electoral system, it’s hard to reach the conclusion that nothing is gonna happen.

        I don’t think anything’s gonna happen myself, but that’s because I don’t see trump as an existential threat, don’t think January 6 was a big deal, see project 2025 as the rights response to Covid laying the power of the administrative state bare and their plan to control it and generally recognize that the only way trust in the electoral system will ever be restored is through a trump victory in 2024 and a peaceful transition of power to the winner of 2028.

        • Custodian1623@lemmy.world
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          6 months ago

          If we’re considering foreign policy, a Trump victory means not only continued destruction in Gaza but potentially an additional genocide in Ukraine. Domestically he has demonstrated that he’s unwilling to accept a loss and will stoop to transporting fake elector ballots to overturn the election. That’s not to mention his platform which I see as abhorrent. I don’t consider putting this guy in the Oval Office to be an acceptable solution. Voting for Biden is the only effective defense against this. I have accepted that we are going to have a terrible genocide enabling president after this election. This is taking a mental toll on me for sure but at the end of the day it can always be worse. If we don’t agree on that premise then we won’t agree on much here.

          • bloodfart
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            6 months ago

            Yeah, I guess if you’ve accepted a genocide being committed in your name we are pretty far apart.

            This is not to chastise or shame, but to convey a personal experience: no amount of what we now call self-care will cover lending your support to stomach churning atrocity or standing idly by during its commission.

            When the people doing it tell you to support them or you’re next the situation can’t be made any more clear.

            • Custodian1623@lemmy.world
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              6 months ago

              Please don’t strawman me. I’m not a zionist, I’m not a proud liberal. My belief is that encouraging a Trump victory will result in MORE atrocities and should be avoided. I have accepted the truth that we will have a genocide-enabling president because, in terms of my participation in the 2024 election, that is out of my control. There are means of protest and expression outside of this election but, within the scope of the '24 presidential election and our casted votes, this is simply the reality that we have to work with. My phrasing of “accepting” is not in terms of complacency with my country’s actions but acceptance that within the scope of which box I check on Election Day, I will reluctantly have to vote for someone who supports a genocide because the alternative is to not participate.

              • bloodfart
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                6 months ago

                the alternative isn’t not to participate!

                the alternative is to give voice to your true beliefs and desires!

                i guarantee there is a ticket that you would support. you may not believe in the party for socialism and liberation but there is definitely some group that actually represents your politics!

                even if you don’t truly walk away from omelas, never to return, telling the democrat party that you won’t support a genocide isn’t not participating! it’s using your meaningful, powerful voice to tell them that you represent voters they could have if they just don’t run the perpetrator of a genocide!

                stand up and let them know that you won’t tolerate their bullshit!

                imagine even the most goofy outcome, biden steps down at the convention and they run kamala and someone else on a platform of peace. wouldn’t that be balm to your soul? wouldn’t you be proud that you stood up even on the vile and worthless internet for what’s right instead of a poison compromise?

                you have the power to make a difference, use it!

                  • bloodfart
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                    6 months ago

                    there literally are not only two options. you can join me and vote la riva. i’m sure the greens are running someone if youre aligned that direction.

                    if you just feel petulant that day there’s a whole host of jokers that are always around and while their platforms might be as asinine as “give everyone a pony” (see what i did there?), at least youre not supporting a genocide.

                    you have options! your voice matters more in the weird harmony of people calling for the democrats to run anyone but biden than it does in the discordant cacophony of those browbeaten and bullied into pulling the lever for the architect of our broken nation who’s currently pissing away the cost of universal healthcare on weapons shipments to israel!