Chicago vs. worst ranking, based on
Yearly Crime Rates per 100,000 people
Violent crime, total : 17th worst in USA
Murder (&…) : 14th worst

All cities which are worse than Chicago are at least three times smaller.

  • daikiki@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    12
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Your chances of being victim of a violent crime in Chicago in any given year are about one in a hundred, half that of St. Louis. Detroit, Baltimore, or Memphis, and almost exactly the same as Houston.

    • cbarrick@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      5
      ·
      1 year ago

      Your chances of being victim of a violent crime in Chicago in any given year are about one in a hundred

      Pardon my ignorance, but what does that mean?

      Like, 1% of Chicagoans are victims of violent crime every year?

      Or like, the number of violent crimes per year divided by the population equals 1%?

      Or something else?

      Some of those are worse than others.

      “Your chances of being victim of a violent crime in any given year is 1%” sounds like a fuckton of violent crime is happening in that city. And you’re saying it’s 2% in other cities!?

      • daikiki@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        8
        ·
        1 year ago

        These statistics are presented as occurrences per 100,000 population per year. So when there are 1,000 violent crimes per 100k, you could say that your odds of being victim of a violent crime are about one in a hundred.

        It’s a gross simplification, of course. Theoretically all those violent crimes could befall a single very unfortunate person (except maybe the murders)

        • A_A@lemmy.worldOP
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          edit-2
          1 year ago

          My post is quite (1/2) unpopular : maybe Thanksgiving was not the right day to rise this topic 🤨 ?
          Edit : Unfortunately on Lemmy we cannot sort by controversial. Sometimes this sorting rises peculiar and interesting questions.

          • daikiki@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            1
            arrow-down
            1
            ·
            1 year ago

            What topic are you referring to? This is a garbage post. Setting some kind of arbitrary limit on population and then just fucking hating on Chicago is useless. What has Chicago ever done to you? How is the population of the city relevant, bearing in mind that the borders of cities and urban areas vary wildly within the US, and many urban areas consist of multiple ‘cities’? How is Houston different from Chicago? Do you think you’re making a point? Cuz you’re not.

            • A_A@lemmy.worldOP
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              edit-2
              1 year ago

              Yes, the word “topic” was unnecessary.

              Setting some kind of arbitrary limit on population (…)

              Like in the header : “All cities which are worse than Chicago are at least three times smaller.” You are not familiar with the concept of outlier, are you ?

              (…) hating on Chicago is useless (…)

              I hate crime.I don’t hate Chicago. Are you projecting ? You seems to have a lot of anger.

              • daikiki@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                1
                ·
                1 year ago

                Are you projecting ?

                Yes. I’m a crime-riddled US city with an inferiority complex :P

      • A_A@lemmy.worldOP
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        edit-2
        1 year ago

        it is like you said :

        (…) number of violent crimes per year divided by the population equals 1% (…)

        Yearly Crime Rates per 100,000 people
        Violent crime, total :
        1 Missouri St. Louis 2,082.29 (2.08%)
        2 Michigan Detroit 2,056.67
        3 Maryland Baltimore 2,027.01

        17 Illinois Chicago 1,098.86 (1.1%)

        if those crimes were spread most equality (nobody is victim of 2 crimes) then, after 30 years in a 1.5% City you have accumulated 45% chances of being a victim.