• Diplomjodler@feddit.de
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    1 year ago

    I wish them the best of luck. Not that they have any chance of success but the more damage they cause to the Russian army, the better

    • perviouslyiner@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      Was there actually anything stopping them before, other than some traffic cops with a grenade launcher, and some excavator operators frantically digging up the motorway?

    • Jaysyn@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      FSB as an organization needs to die to the man before anything good can happen in Russia.

      • marcos@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Maybe. It depends if they keep control afterwards… or better, on who keeps control afterwards.

        • pimento64@sopuli.xyz
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          1 year ago

          Yeah we’ve already tried shit like that 20 or 30 times, we do eventually learn our lesson.

      • CarbonIceDragon@pawb.social
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        1 year ago

        Considering they’re arguably even worse than Putin, we probably don’t want them to actually have a chance at being successful, it’s just that any forces Russia has to use to stop them are forces they aren’t using in Ukraine. Giving them funding would be a seriously bad move.

      • Jumper775@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        If Biden funds them Biden funds a direct attack on Russia, due to the increased pressure Russia will take that as an attack from the US and will escalate. We want to deescalate everything we can because we don’t know if putin will use his nukes, and if he does the world ends. Putin will not win a war with the us though, so he may not care about the end of the world.

        • Bernie Ecclestoned@sh.itjust.works
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          1 year ago

          Every near nuclear war has been averted by Russian officers. The dude on the sub near Cuba and the other dude who realised that the USA hadn’t launched nukes, it was their computer system falsely alerting.

          100% success rate so far!

          • Jumper775@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Sure so far, but a direct order from Putin directly after killing the last man who crossed him? If it came to it he would launch everything he’s got because anything not launched gets destroyed by mutually assured destruction, so every single Russian officer would have to refuse to launch. And it only takes one launch to be devastating and trigger a complete reaction from the US as our anti-Russian propaganda is still strong.

        • skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.de
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          1 year ago

          nukes were never on the table. putin’s goal number one is holding power in russia, and it’s no fun when it’s all shiny glass or when you’re dead. the reason behind invasion? believe it or not, also holding more power within russia. over two decades of putin’s presidency, he carefully molded his electoral base to consist of nationalists, and every time he invaded another country his ratings went up (2008, georgia, 2014, donbas, 2022, ukraine, at least initially) because even if your elections are faked, you need it to be believable and you need to have some real support. that’s even how he got presidency in the first place, by initiating second chechen war

          in this situation, what options putin does have?

          • he can’t sue for peace right now, or deescalate in a big way, because his electoral base will see this as a sign of weakness and move on to another rabid nationalist
          • he can’t escalate, because he has little to escalate with, in terms of (modern) equipment and (mobilized) manpower. mobilization is an unacceptable political risk, additionally, he runs a risk of corresponding western escalation, with west is much more capable of, and would consist of equipment only, which is much less politically risky
          • he can’t use nukes, because there’s already nuclear bunker buster with his name somewhere in the midwest and he probably wants it to stay there

          the only survivable option for putin seems to keep intensity at this level or lower, try to limit western aid, and try to slowly grind through to whatever propaganda objective he wants. remember all these russian threats, that if west provides whatever equipment, they will use nuukes! it seems that everyone called bluff on this one, multiple times. conversely, the more favourable scenario for ukraine is escalation. more info here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fWKGYnO0Jf4 https://yt.artemislena.eu/watch?v=fWKGYnO0Jf4

  • rustyfish@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    For everyone just tuning in: This show is notorious for having bad season finales.

          • chatokun@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            1 year ago

            Behind the Bastards has an episode about Jim Caviezel, and in it they discussed several anonymous and one non anonymous retelling of working with the man. If the allegations are to be believed, he kept being worse and worse not understanding his characters motivations, and they had to adjust some stuff to stop him ruining the show. They mention him doing stuff like actually harming other actors/stunt doubles if he was doing action scenes, a desire to just kill and shoot up enemies, and being really bad later on about following the script.

          • qyron@sopuli.xyz
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            1 year ago

            As someone who viewed Person of Interest down to the last episode, this was a series that started strong, followed with a solid 2nd season and at this point it was like watching two series at once, one taking in consideration the roots of the story, the other written by a teenager fan group, wanting to turn up the dial for more intrigue.

            The way it ended was a coup de grace, more than anything.

          • Squizzy@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Having not finished any of these shows I’m unsure of if the format is telling me they have good endings or not. I’m guessing not but I heard Fringe and POI are great.

  • noobdoomguy8658@feddit.de
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    1 year ago

    Take it with a grain of salt, people, none of the trustworthy sources confirmed any of that - just a couple of Ukrainian outlets (understandable as psyop) and, well, yahoo news and the like.

    As a Russian living in Russia and, obviously, closely following all the shit show, it does not seem like Wagner is going to do anything.

    Then again, I’m not sure about shit after 24 Feb 2022.

    • Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      I am curious if you think Putin will allow Wagner Corp to continue operating as it has, or if they will all now fall under his direction. And if it’s the latter, will they be paid and who will be writing the check?

      • noobdoomguy8658@feddit.de
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        1 year ago

        PREFACE: Prior to 24 Feb 2022, I was really skeptical that Putin would start the war at all, though, so I might be really wrong here - I’m no expert, just a regular rusky Ivan with some opinions. Things in Russia aren’t really predictable at the moment.

        And if it’s the latter, will they be paid and who will be writing the check?

        Unfortunately, all the tax-payers - remember, the government has no money of its own, only the money of its citizen and tax residents.

        I am curious if you think Putin will allow Wagner Corp to continue operating as it has, or if they will all now fall under his direction.

        Judging by the mutiny in June, I think the mercs will receive offers to join the regular military as contractors or something along these lines. The PMC itself will be probably be manipulated into control one way or another, either via a direct acquisition or some other scheme, all in attempt to smother the beast Putin himself had created.

        Then again, Putin is not a smart guy people make him out to be - he’s very prone to mistakes, especially after 20+ years of constant ass-licking from the various abundant yes-men (and the assassinations of the no-men). Look no further than the various regional battalion he’s ordered to conjure, which is supposed to be carried out by the governors, essentially creating local not-so-private militaries. Sure, they’re not mercs and really far from being experienced combatants with all the subsequent traumas like the Wagner mercs are, and most likely have way less sense of freedom and lawlessness because they hadn’t lived that lifestyle before (and won’t know), but it still is an armed group of people that is deliberately put into some separate division based on their region - civil war isn’t any near now, but dividing armed people into areas rather than just putting everyone in the same military power is not a good idea, especially not in the situation Russia finds itself in.

        All that being said, the most important point is the following: Russia as a governmental entity has been very carefully engineering a society with as few leaders as possible, and succeeded well enough to make sure that our people just don’t really act on their desires and urges to protest en masse and for long; while it’s one thing for us, civilians, who aren’t armed, aren’t hardened by combat, aren’t used to real violence, the Wagner mercs aren’t really taught to be free-thinking individuals either, so even if they all want to storm Kremlin, I just don’t see that happening unless a figure powerful enough to lead them emerges.

        • Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works
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          1 year ago

          I think the mercs will receive offers to join the regular military as contractors or something along these lines.

          That’s what I would do if I were Putin. I would basically dissolve the Wagner charter or whatever the equivalent is in Russia. I would then have a “skills interview and test” (loyalty test) and give the most loyal a pay bump and a promotion, even if in title only. I would basically make everyone an independent contractor so they all get paid different rates and have different performance incentives based off their role. That would basically ensure that they stay loyal to you, as they would be way less likely to join forces if everyone thinks they are special and better then the next guy.

          Then if the regular military catches wind of anyone’s pay, you can just say “they are an elite squad, some get paid more due to hazard pay”

          Then again, Putin is not a smart guy people make him out to be - he’s very prone to mistakes, especially after 20+ years of constant ass-licking from the various abundant yes-men (and the assassinations of the no-men). Look no further than the various regional battalion he’s ordered to conjure, which is supposed to be carried out by the governors, essentially creating local not-so-private militaries. Sure, they’re not mercs and really far from being experienced combatants with all the subsequent traumas like the Wagner mercs are, and most likely have way less sense of freedom and lawlessness because they hadn’t lived that lifestyle before (and won’t know), but it still is an armed group of people that is deliberately put into some separate division based on their region - civil war isn’t any near now, but dividing armed people into areas rather than just putting everyone in the same military power is not a good idea, especially not in the situation Russia finds itself in.

          This is fascinating and the first I have heard of this. You clearly speak English well, do you have an English source I can read more about this?

          • noobdoomguy8658@feddit.de
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            1 year ago

            That’s what I would do if I were Putin. I would basically dissolve the Wagner charter or whatever the equivalent is in Russia. I would then have a “skills interview and test” (loyalty test) and give the most loyal a pay bump and a promotion, even if in title only. I would basically make everyone an independent contractor so they all get paid different rates and have different performance incentives based off their role. That would basically ensure that they stay loyal to you, as they would be way less likely to join forces if everyone thinks they are special and better then the next guy.

            I don’t want to sound mean, but that sounds like a massive overcomplication from Putin’s side. To me, what you’re saying seems to make sense, but you and I are not Putin - I think neither of us is a narcissistic psychopath that’s been killing people en masse for at least a couple of dozen years. What makes sense to you or me might not necessary make any bit of sense to Putin - we wouldn’t have seen this war play out, nor the Crimea annexation, nor even Euromaidan, because without Putin’s egoistic attempts to control Ukraine via proxies (Yanukovich and the entire war in Donbass being the prime example) or directly.

            If we start talking about this from positions of common sense, we’ll simply go back so far back in time that it’s just easier to assume that everyone would be better off without Putin as a whole in the first place, from the very beginning.

            You clearly speak English well, do you have an English source I can read more about this?

            First of all, thank you! It’s probably my most cherished skill - really did open a lot of opportunities in my life in many ways. Not really sure I wouldn’t be rooting for Putin if it wasn’t for English leading me to more liberal places, first outside the Russian internet, then - interestingly enough - inside the Russian internet and Russia itself.

            As for the English sources, I’m afraid I can’t recommend anything. Things I know and share are mostly courtesy of the Russian-native sources of various kind, complied in my mind over years and years of discourse.

            Since links to other social media sites are forbidden by the rules here, I’ll leave a few easily-searchable sources below. Keep in mind that none of them are native English speakers, but all have their content readily available in English one way or another. It’s not as easy as I’d love it to be to share with you, but it’s the best sources I could think of to share with someone outside Russia, helping them understand what’s actually going on.

            • Vlad Vexler (YouTube) - I can’t really recall who he is exactly, but it’s safe to say he’s been studying/looking at the Russian politics for many years now, and shares some insights with the English-speaking audience. He doesn’t live in Russia and, from what I can tell, hasn’t lived there for decades, so he is a little rusty and out of touch with things like motivations of the elites, the processes in the society, etc., but it’s a good enough source if you need an English-speaking source.
            • Maxim Katz (YouTube) - a Russian-speaking politician, currently wanted by the Russian government and living in Israel until he can come back. Probably the best speaker we have right now. His production has gotten really professional since the beginning of the war in terms of subtitles, the topic coverage, upload frequency (as of yet, it’s daily, so there’s a lot of content if you’re interested) - very easy to follow, very humane, and extremely representative of the Russian society’s current demands and thoughts, despite everything people have to say. The channel covers a lot of topics, both from the liberal perspective and the more conservative/conformist one, trying to reach out to as many people as possible; sometimes they cover some things about the Russian opposition and the challenges it’s facing, which is a great peek into what’s going in Russian minds, too; sometimes they present some analysis on what’s to come in terms of the war or Russia or Putin, also making it very clear that their forecasts are extremely tentative due to the nature of such things in the situation Russia is in thanks to Putin; honestly. there’s so much Maxim and his team talk about that I wouldn’t be able to list everything here, but if you want to have a consistent, worthwhile and sensible insight into the country that Russia is today, this is probably the best option aside from regularly talking to someone inside (speaking of which, feel free to reach out, I’ll be happy to try and answer some questions; sometimes it makes me feel like I’m doing my little part in dissolving the myths about the obedient slavery-loving Russians that just crave to live under some mad dictatorships).
            • Ekaterina Schulmann (YouTube) - an extremely experienced and professional political scientist. She does have a channel, but also gives interviews to various media outside Russia in English, so you’ll have an easier time with getting info from her. Her analysis and understanding of Russia are a little more complicated than that of Maxim’s and Vlad’s from above, but if you want a really thorough look across large swathes of content, both from her specifically and just featuring her, this is definitely the woman to follow.
            • Ksenia Sobchak (YouTube and Telegram) - quite a big name in Russia in general, and now in more liberal media as well, but I can’t tell you much about her because she cover a wide variety of topics not just related to politics. Still, she’s another great example of someone trying to talk to both those pro war and those against - because, trust me, it’s a very complicated topic and throwing the former aside only helps Putin. Surely worth a few looks, especially over at YouTube with some subtitles.
            • Mikhail Khodorkovsky (YouTube) - a bit more radial than the rest, but nonetheless worth checking out. The insights he offers are a little more outdated than that of Maxim’s because Mikhail has been living outside Russia for years now, and spent even more in jail prior - Putin didn’t like him for multiple reasons and dealt with him in a relatively nice way (took away his business and with that, a great workplace for millions of people; I think my father used to work at his company, UKOS, and it was definitely better than today’s Rosneft for him in particular and us as a family as a whole). I do believe he is worth checking out anyway because he brings his experience of being a very active member of the Russian society during the 90s and 00s.
            • Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works
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              1 year ago

              I really appreciate you taking the time to write all this out!

              I wouldn’t know what questions to even ask without first going through and watching the videos from what you posted.

              I guess my own questions right now would be about technology and access to information.

              Like how difficult is it to use the internet in Russia? Have you traveled internationally to have something to compare it to? I heard a lot of people use VPNs, do they worry a lot about being caught? What can’t you do without a VPN?

              I am also curious if you consume any western media, and if so what are your favorite and least favorite outlets. I am also curious what western sources have seemed the most accurate to you about Russia in general, if any at all.

  • fluke@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Honest at this point I wouldn’t even blink if Prigozhin popped up in the future to tell us they faked their deaths.

    To be clear, I believe that he’s dead (and that it was probably an assassination by Putin), but so many other outrageous things have happened already little surprises me.

    • WhipTheLlama@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      That’s the first thing I thought when I heard about his death. He should have known that Putin would likely want him dead, so pretending to board a plane that gets shot down is a pretty good way to fake your death. Does he use his fake death to plot revenge or to escape, never to be heard from again?

      • bstix@feddit.dk
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        1 year ago

        Who knows if Putin even wanted him dead. It could be a way for him to step out of the spotlight and let Putin show what happens to those who disobey. They have a huge issue with deserters.

        I wouldn’t be surprised if they were found eating kaviar off each others nibbles.

        • themeatbridge@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Putin wanted him dead without a doubt. He challenged Putin’s authority and marched his forces on Moscow. The Wagner group made Putin look like a scared little removed, which he probably is in real life, so he’s insecure about it.

          Both sides are violent oligarchs that murder people for profit and power. I’ll quote Clarence Darrow here:

          “One reason why we don’t kill is because we are not used to it. I never killed anybody, but I have done just the same thing. I have had a great deal of satisfaction over many obituary notices that I have read. I never got into the habit of killing. I could mention the names of many that it would please me if I could read their obituaries in the paper in the morning,”

          • bstix@feddit.dk
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            1 year ago

            Sure they probably would kill each other just for fun, but they were also allies until this.

            It’s about money. They’re mercenaries. If they don’t get paid, they’ll bite the hand that feeds them. That’s likely why they marched to Moscow. So Prigizhin got paid and they turned around. But what now? Prigozhin has the money. Suddenly dies. Did his mercenaries get paid? Dead men don’t pay bills. There’s no hand to bite. The mercenaries were prisoners before they joined Wagner. It’s unlikely that neither Putin or Prigozhin gives a fuck about them.

            If you ask me, it’s really fucking convenient for both Putin and Prigozhin to fake his death right about payday.

        • imaqtpie@lemmy.myserv.one
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          1 year ago

          I wouldn’t be surprised if they were found eating kaviar off each others nibbles.

          I did not ask for this mental image today

    • Xero@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I’d hoped he piloted a Kamikaze plane into Putin’s card fortress so both of them could go to hell to meet Hitler whom they admired so much

    • letsgocrazy@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      At this point it’s such a clown show that I wouldn’t be surprised by much.

    • dangblingus@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Just because the leader was presumably killed, doesn’t mean they stop getting paid. Do you get fired from your job if your boss dies?

      • ipkpjersi
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        1 year ago

        If your boss is the CEO and owner, maybe yeah.

        • jcg@halubilo.social
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          1 year ago

          If your boss was the one that had connections with the client, then maybe eventually yeah.

          • GamingChairModel@lemmy.world
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            Yeah, was gonna say. A CEO dying doesn’t stop the paychecks in a normal company, but if the CEO was murdered by the company’s only client…

          • Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works
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            I know of two small ? (Not sure what the cutoff is) businesses and payroll would stop if they died. They would be paid eventually as the companies have assets, but it would take a while for them to pick up the pieces. Basically for one of them their lead saleswoman would have to assume the role and teach herself basically everything he was doing. Instead of hiring HR/AP/Etc. he outsourced everything to programs and other companies other than sales, design and production. I honestly don’t know if the company would survive if he died, which is sad because the lead saleswoman is his wife.

      • bitsplease
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        They’re in the hire of Russia, do you imagine Russia is going to pay them to march on Moscow

        • chinpokomon
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          If they aren’t getting paid, might that instigate some revolt as well?

    • Da_Boom@iusearchlinux.fyi
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      Idk about that one, they’re employed by Wagner, Wagner is essentially the business entity that allows them to operate as a mercenary group. Who knows how much loyalty they have to their own command structure? If I were the owner of a private Merc army, I would try to instill as much loyalty as I can so they don’t turn on me.

    • ours@lemmy.film
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      1 year ago

      It could be a move to force Putin to pay them off now they are masterless.

    • AnAngryAlpaca@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      I’m sure there would be lots to loot, or taking ownership of profitable ex government corporations…

  • Uprise42@artemis.camp
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    1 year ago

    It would be so ironic if the plane crash was entirely an accident and not planned in any way, but no one believes it because of Putins history. And if they kill him for something he wasn’t actually involved in because of his past crimes ruining his credibility it would be oh-so-sweet

  • Hazdaz@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Here we go again.

    It will end not differently than last time.

    When they had their leader, they might have had a chance to taking down Putin. Maybe. Slim chance, but a chance. Now they are fucked.

    Still would be nice to put a hurt on the Russian military.

      • Llewellyn@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        Not necessarily, because (I suspect) less soldiers Putin have more he would be willing to press that red button.

        • Silverseren@kbin.social
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          We can’t change that regardless and can’t forever cower under every threat Putin makes. Unless we just want to make him dictator of the world.

        • Aceticon@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Putin’s unwillingness to push the red button is due to it resulting on every single nation in the World including China turning against him and Russia if he did do that (because if the first nation to use nukes offensivelly isn’t examplarily punished for it, every nation in the World will rush to become nuclear capable - if only for self defense - which funilly enough flattens the capability of the giants such as China to push the little ones around hence even if only because of that they’re against it) and likely Russia, he himself and his family ending up nuked sooner or later.

          If there is one thing the Invasion of Ukraine has taught us is that if he thinks get away with it and end up better from doing it, no matter how evil. Putin will do it or have somebody do it for him.

          • Llewellyn@lemm.ee
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            Does Putin seem reasonable to you? I think it’s pretty possible that he will be willing to take the whole world to the grave with him.

            • Aceticon@lemmy.world
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              Absolutelly - so far he seems to be rational.

              Not necessarily wise, certainly not morally upright (quite the opposite), but yeah, absolutelly rational.

              He started a war to conquer territory and resources, likely based on certain expectations of capability of the Russian Military which were far from realistic as well as expectations on the Ukranian Military and Society which were also far fromrealistic. He went for a decapitation attack expecting Zelenskyy to be killed, captured or flee but none of that happenned and thus the “easy way” failed. From there onwards, as a dictator who has anchored his authority on an image of “strong man”, we couldnt simply back down so everything that has been happenning since has been him trying to ideally gain something out of a bad situation or at least not to lose face.

              All pretty rational. Not exactly strategically intelligent but certainly rational.

              As for the use of nukes, notice how the ever increasing talk about using it from the russian authorities maybe a year ago suddenly stopped (except for fringe types and well known powerless russian muppets) when China made it very clear they would have to do something about it if Russia used those…

              Even a strategically inept but rational actor can’t miss the implications of China turning against Russia.

              • Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works
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                1 year ago

                In hindsight, all he had to do was setup an assination squad before mobilizing troops in 2022. Had he killed Zelensky before the real fighting happened I think the country would have been very demoralized and it would have been much harder for them to get aid with a new leader, even if it wasn’t a Russian plant.

                And the more gains that they would have made earlier on, the less likely the West would have been to send aid, less it fall into the hands of Russia or some new corrupt politician.

                Without the aid, Russia would have already won by now.

                • Aceticon@lemmy.world
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                  1 year ago

                  Apparently he did try it, several times, after the invasion started.

                  I suspect that in Putin’s mind, before Zelenskyy revealled himself as a real leader (“I don’t need a lift, I need ammo”), he was nothing more than a week “western-style politician” and comediant who would easilly fold.

                  It’s very easy with hindsight to say he should’ve tried to take him out beforehand but at the time he (or, lets be honest, any of us, even the US President) really didn’t know Zelenskyy’s character (and for all he knew back then, killing Zelenskyy might’ve just be taking out a weaker man and end up with a stronger man leading the Ukranian Government).

                  Sure, it makes sense now, but back then knowing what he knew then, for Putin it clearly did not.

                • Aceticon@lemmy.world
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                  1 year ago

                  He wanted territory, mineral resources and even human resources (lots of industrial production in the territories Russia took) and expected the mighty Russian Army would crush the Ukranian Army (just like when they took Crimea) and the rest of the World wouldn’t do much more than removed & moaning (again, just like when Russia took Crimea). Apparently he was even expecting his men would be welcomed by the ukranians with open arms (remember how the head of Russian Intelligence was fire not long after the war started because of that?!) and that the rest of Europe could be controlled via Economic Pressure because of its dependency on Russian Gas.

                  It makes all sense that having overestimated the Russian Army and underestimated the Ukranian people and its Army as well as the will of the West to genuinelly help Ukraine (and looking at all the pussyfooting around providing modern jets and long range missiles to Ukraines, I would say that at least partially that’s true), it looked like a good idea to begin with.

                  Once commited, given the style of leader he portrays himself as and the overreliance on nationalism to control the russian people, he was stuck with the Ukranians pushing back with western help and unwilling to give up and being politically unable to just conced the War as that would be almost literaly putting his neck on the block.

  • letsgocrazy@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    My Russian friend pointed out to me that Prigozhin was actually on his way to see Putin when he got shot down.

      • nyoooom@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Yeah that part makes no sense, how dumb do you have to be to put the two main leaders in the same fucking plane flying near the capital

          • ours@lemmy.film
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            1 year ago

            Recent? I was watching a video about the USSR losing a whole bunch of their top generals because the idiots went on the same plane to some meeting. They used this little trip for some personal shopping. They bought a lot much stuff and it was improperly secured in the aircraft so it shifted during takeoff dooming them all.

        • TheWoozy@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          1 year ago

          Who knows what Putin told them to get them to visit him? “All is forgiven & I want you to run the ministry of defense”.

  • notatoad@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    As long as they’re not killing Ukrainians, then I guess yeah, go do whatever…