Those leaders are falling like flies; Iran’s entire proxy network has been systematically dismantled over the last year. Hamas, Hezbollah, and Houthis are all a shadow of what they were very recently.
Unfortunately, I don’t see it making Israeli civilians safer in the medium term due to the brutality of the wars. Israel can kill every Hamas, Hezbollah, and Houthi leader but if the civilian deaths are disproportionate, new groups will form. Individuals will seek their own revenge. Israel is arguably as isolated diplomatically as it’s ever been.
It seems like a very short term victory that will undermine any chance for lasting peace.
Yeah, it seems the only win the axis of resistance has experienced over the past year is Israel’s tanking international reputation, and that’s far more the result of Israel’s actions than anything the AoR has done.
Israels economy is also tanking heavily. They have lost some 80 billion over the past year. Their “reverse migration” is stronger than ever.
Unless the West destroys the ICC, Israeli politicians and soldiers could face a trial that will make Nuremberg look like district court, especially as IDF proudly films and shares their war crimes online.
Israel has dived down the deep fascist end. This means political violence and murder will skyrocket. Someone who is used to getting away with murdering women and children and gettin praised for it instead of punished, will slaughter his wife and kids too if they dont obey. You know how femicide and domestic violence are rampant among cops? And only few of them have killed someone.
Once societies go down such a route there is no stopping them until they fall apart. Question is if it will meam genocide to thousands, hundreds of thousands or millions.
that’s far more the result of Israel’s actions than anything the AoR has done.
I mean it was Hamas fighting until this October, and I don’t think anyone was expecting Hamas to beat Israel in a straight fight. Hezbollah will probably do better in a defensive war, but even then they won’t deal the kind of serious damage you’re expecting, and that was never the point.
You talk about Israel’s international reputation tanking like it’s a minor occurence, but the change in Western public opinion over the past year is big. Expect a lot of change in Israeli-Western relations in the next 20 years as the next generation gains more power in politics and the older generations more likely to support Israel die off.
Expect a lot of change in Israeli-Western relations in the next 20 years as the next generation gains more power in politics and the older generations more likely to support Israel die off.
This is reminiscent of “just wait for the older generations to die off so we can finally elect more progressive candidates” I’ve been told of for the past 20 years. Meanwhile, it seems reactionaries are doing better than they have in decades the world around. I hope you’re right, but I’m not optimistic.
This is reminiscent of “just wait for the older generations to die off so we can finally elect more progressive candidates” I’ve been told of for the past 20 years.
I mean this does, to an extent, hold true in the US. The GOP’s voter base is dying off and the country is bluer than ever. If Harris didn’t insist on taking over Biden’s most unpopular policies this wouldn’t even be a contest. That said, I will acknowledge that I might be looking at things too optimistically.
Expect a lot of change in Israeli-Western relations in the next 20 years
I wouldn’t count on it. Western attention spans are nowhere near long enough for that.
They are occasionally. It depends on the event involved and the alignment of the stars, among other things. More seriously Israel’s image in Western consciousness has permanently changed. Western attention spans would come into play if there was a default state, which isn’t really the case here.
If genocide and terrorism are “winning”, then the AoR hasn’t had any “wins” like the zios.
I find Israel’s methods abhorrent, but when I ask myself, are Palestinians better off than they were on October 6th 2023? Is Hamas stronger than it was a year ago? Hezbollah? The answers are all no.
Winning from a realpolitik perspective is simply “is an actor achieving their strategic aims?” So far Israel seems to be while I see no indication of that from the AoR. I think all this is really achieving in the long term for Israel is a perpetuation of generational conflict, but at the same time I’m failing to see what benefits October 7th has netted for anyone besides Bibi getting casus belli.
All the dead Palestinians sure aren’t better off.
I mean Israel isn’t accomplishing their strategix goals either, because they don’t really have any except genocide. There’s a reason anyone with half a brain is calling this war a massive failure for Israel on multiple fronts.
but at the same time I’m failing to see what benefits October 7th has netted for anyone besides Bibi getting casus belli.
It netted Palestinians more international support than the past 20 years combined. Israel is winning on the ground, but historians will point to October 7th and the resulting Gaza genocide as the beginning of the end for Israel.
Elimination of AoR leadership was absolutely a strategic goal for Israel. Hopefully increased support for Palestine leads to concrete help for Palestinians, but as far as I can tell so far all it has netted them is a UN general assembly seat. May very well be overlooking something, admittedly. I will also concede that it’s too early to really see the downstream impacts of the war. That said, looking over the history of all the wars and intifadas in the region, I’m not sure I can point to any that didn’t weaken the Palestinian position while strengthening the Israeli one.
Elimination of AoR leadership was absolutely a strategic goal for Israel.
I see, but was it a logical goal? Seems like a whack a mole situation that does nothing but create martyrs.
That said, looking over the history of all the wars and intifadas in the region, I’m not sure I can point to any that didn’t weaken the Palestinian position while strengthening the Israeli one.
I’d say the first Intifada did a lot for Palestinians (until Netanyahu destroyed the Oslo Accords, anyway), but that aside: You’re looking at this too much like a conventional conflict between two sides where the stronger wins. I mean, that’s not completely inaccurate, but you’re forgetting that Israel can only do all this because it has an absolutely vital lifeline in its relationship with the West. Remove that and the whole thing will come apart. The days where Israel singlehandedly dominated the region like in 1949 and 1967 (with Western intelligence, but that aside) are gone; now it’s all about their relationship with the West. And in that West, you have the majority of people against continuing that relationship. And what’s more, that majority is leaning towards younger people who will grow up and raise their kids with their image of Israel framed by their actions in the past year. Politicians are finding it hard to publicly associate with Israel, with Biden being rightly considered a fucking buffoon for doing so. You have large swathes of people opposing Israeli actions enough it’s considered one of the Harris campaign largest hurdles. As you said, Palestine didn’t directly gain much (they did gain a massive rise in support for BDS, for example, so not nothing), but Israel lost a lot and it’s only going to lose more as time goes on and the effects of their current actions cement themselves in Western collective consciousness. Israel gained the upper hand in this conflict by gaining Western support, and they’ll lose it by losing Western support. This trend has been progressing for the past 20 or so years, but Israeli actions post October 7th accelerated it significantly.
Increased BDS support is a good call out
Hopefully we will also see their ally Russia dismantled in the coming year.
All which might cause the weakening of Turkish forces in Syria and the demise of Assad.Things are much more complicated than “all friends of Russia”
Russia and Iran are competing over influence in Syria. This is why Russia let Israel bomb Iran affiliated groups in Syria. In return Israel sent drones to Russia, didnt join Russian sanctions, and demanded Ukraine to surrender when Russia started the full blown invasion.
Israel is closely allied with Azerbaidschan, having provided much of the drones that were used to fuck Armenia and ethnically cleanse Berkarabach. In return they get most of their Oil from Azerbaidschan and offered it to exploit the Gas fields in front of Gaza that Israel wants to steal.
However Azerbaidschan is also a close ally of Turkey, which is pushed to end its complicity with Israel while the rethoric is much harsher already. Turkey is invading northern Syria, which neither Iran nor Russia like, but Russia also needs Turkey for trade, while Turkey is in NATO…
And that is just beginning to scratch the surface.
I agree it’s more complicated, but it doesn’t change what I wrote.
A weaker Iran means a weaker Russia and vice versa.
If both are weakened, Assad is weakened.
But I guess it’s not as clear cut with Turkey. Although the Kurds will have an easier time when they won’t have to fight Iranian, Syrian and Russian forces along with Turkish ones. And a weakening of Iran will also weaken Iranian-affiliated Iraqi militias that are also attacking Kurds.Russia didn’t let Israel, one of their bases were shot at for 40 minutes straight as a warning.
They also got a bunch of other warnings before and after. Russia won’t waste their time on this when they’re already losing so much in the war with Ukraine.Both Russia and Iran helped Assad in the civil war.
Israel is allied with Azerbaijan because of their border with Iran.
Turkey was already assisting Hamas even before. They’ll keep trade with Israel behind the scenes for economic reasons like they’ve always done.
And at the moment Russia is assisting Turkey in bombing the Kurds.
Lmao the cope is real.
What about the imperial proxy network that’s invading the middle east with genocide, terrorism, kidnapping, SA, child abuse, etc.?
They seem to be doing fine. Bibi appears to be cultivating a forever war so he can stay in power indefinitely.
Hamas yeah, Hezbollah and the Houthis? I haven’t seen any indication of that. The war with Hezbollah just started and the Houthis dealt a lot more damage to Israel than they took from Western airstrikes.
The US has been hitting any Houthi poking their head above ground for the last year. Their available munitions and fighters are drastically reduced. You don’t see them landing helicopters on civilian tankers anymore, no, now you see B2 bombers blowing up their hideouts.
Hezbollah is even worse off. Israel compromised their supply lines and blew up huge portions of their leadership up and down the chain. They then were forced to meet in person, where even more of their leadership exploded via air-dropped bombs. No, they won’t recover for years. And this is while Israel launched a ground invasion destroying even more of their capability.
I haven’t seen anyone talking about that. Where did you find this information?
Which part? B2 strikes on the Houthis happened this week.
I know about the airstrikes and about how Israel has been assassinating Hezbollah leadership, but not much I’ve seen talked about how much damage these actions are causing on the ground, and nothing said the Houthis or Hezbollah were shadows of their former selves.
Now get Netanyahu and Gallant for killing 30,000 Palestinians and we might see peace.
Israel was never interested in peace.
Yikes, very NSFW pic of a corpse in that article.
I didn’t know Sinwar was even in Gaza. Wasn’t he hiding in Qatar?
Nope, he was always in Gaza.
Mousa abu Marzouk and Khaled Mashaal are the ones in Qatar (and previously, Haniyeh).Ah, thanks for clarifying.
Sinwar has been hiding in the tunnels for years. He doesn’t use a phone and very rarely goes above ground, making him very hard to track.
With today’s technology and intelligent, anyone can be tracked. Anyone. Anywhere.
Israel has been trying to get Sinwar for years, I think he did a pretty solid job hiding all things considered
Until he didn’t. And there is also an element of luck in this subject.
I guess if you bomb every square inch of Gaza with complete disregard for anyone in the way, you’re bound to get him eventually…
Israeli propaganda. He got taken out in fatigues fighting Israel with his last breath in Gaza, throwing a stick at a drone, surrounded by the rubble of a battlefield.
Hopefully now a better future for Palestinians and Israelis is ahead.
Once the leader who murdered 30,000 Palestinian civilians is brought to justice, maybe.
Remember kids, you already know what Palestine without Hamas looks like: is the apartheid regime of the West Bank!
1 died, 10 others will be born. This will continue until the Palestinians have their land and rights back.
This is simply a statement of fact: “Palestinians say drone footage shows Sinwar’s ‘heroic’ final moments in Gaza”.
This is not how peace will come. “You can do many things with bayonets except sit on them.” ~ Talleyrand
Having their land includes the depopulation of all the jews in Israel? Coz that’s what Palestinians in Gaza are advocating for, and I don’t see that happening anytime soon (or ever).
It never has. It means equal rights for Palestinians
Equal rights as in inside of Israel? As in 1 state solution? No way can they live without murdering each other at this point.
Inside of historic Palestine, yes. Zionism has been the obstacle to peace as far back as British Occupation. Works by Ilan Pappe and Avi Schlaim, two Israeli historians, can discuss why the One-State Solution is the only real solution. The foreign affairs article also does a good job detailing why
Peace Process and Solution
Both Hamas and Fatah have agreed to a Two-State solution based on the 1967 borders for decades. Oslo and Camp David were used by Israel to continue settlements in the West Bank and maintain an Apartheid, while preventing any actual Two-State solution
How Avi Shlaim moved from two-state solution to one-state solution
‘One state is a game changer’: A conversation with Ilan Pappe
One State Solution, Foreign Affairs
Hamas proposed a full prisoner swap as early as Oct 8th, and agreed to the US proposed UN Permanent Ceasefire Resolution. Additionally, Hamas has already agreed to no longer govern the Gaza Strip, as long as Palestinians receive liberation and a unified government can take place.
During the current war, Hamas officials have said that the group does not want to return to ruling Gaza and that it advocates for forming a government of technocrats to be agreed upon by the various Palestinian factions. That government would then prepare for elections in Gaza and the West Bank, with the intention of forming a unified government.
the depopulation of all the jews in Israel [is] what Palestinians in Gaza are advocating for
That’s exactly as true and accurate as saying that “The Jews in Israel are advocating for the ethnic cleansing of all the Arabs from Eretz Yisrael”. Such a phrase of course is antisemitic as fuck, and no reasonable person would say it. Just like your phrase is racist/anti-palestinian as fuck. Which makes me think you’re not a reasonable person.
Yeah I wrote that poorly. Of course not all Gazans want the expulsion of all Jews out of Israel. I meant the Palestinian authority in Gaza - that is Hamas - is advocating for that.
Until some other authority rises up in Gaza (or forced to be there, like putting Fatah there), I don’t see an end to this conflict.
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Nice straw man. Conservatives always think everyone is as ghoulish as them
I guess the zios finally justified 75+ years of genocide. \s
Watch is on the wrong wrist.
I’m absolutely baffled by this statement. Is OP a zoomer that doesnt realize that wristwatches are to be worn on the non-domimant wrist?
Or was Sinwar left handed, something OP knows and the rest of us don’t? Unlikely since primitives have abrahamic hangups against legt-handedness and Sinwar would have been thrown off a building for witchcraft.
Comments full of NAFO-Zionist cope. Sinwar, Haniyeh, and every last Hamas leader can be vaporised and a thousand more will fill their places. Hezbollah has continued to repel Israeli invasions into Lebanon, and Israel continues its suicidal death cult genocide despite its ‘victories’.
All while self fellating about this somehow meaning the end of Russia? Get the fuck over yourselves, Ukraine had a chance at a peace deal and it got ratfucked by NATO, so now Zelensky is begging for nukes whilst funnelling every last reservist into the collapsing Kursk salient. If you want peace, it won’t be negotiated on American terms in either theatre.
Lemmy dot World is truly the most Reddit place outside of Reddit.
Israel will continue to vaporize whomever steps into their place.
And Hezbollah is getting their asses kicked in Lebanon. Even the IDF is shocked at how quickly they’ve made progress. There are reports that captured Hezbollah fighters have admitted they lost their will to fight after Nasrallah was killed. Generals fled.
STOP SAYING “LEADER” AS IF THERE IS ONE
Sorry… Hamas doesn’t have a leader? How do they organize anything? They used to run a country before Israel invaded it.
My point is that the headline should read “another Hamas leader” or something to indicate that there is more than one.
But he’s a leader whether or not there is more than one leader. So the headline is accurate.
I mean yes but AFAIK Yahya Sinwar is/was the top Hamas guy in Gaza.
