Someone used to have some clear evidence of the shelling of the Donbas ratcheting up from Ukr side in the days before the invasion. I haven’t seen it posted in a while, but it was from some international monitoring org showing how the Ukr side was being very accelerationist. I’ll see if I can dig it up.
e: not what I was thinking of, but provides similar context, this interview in French, the translated part below:
Specifically, on Friday, the OSCE identifies 1,800 violations of the peace agreements by Ukraine, with heavy-arm shelling, which are prohibited by the Geneva Conventions and international law. On Saturday, 19 February 2022, the Donbas authorities, in agreement with Russia, evacuated 100,000 people across the border in order to protect them from Ukrainian bombing. Moreover, hundreds of buses can be seen on the roads. At that time, it is also discovered that there are more than 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers who are massed on the banks of the Donbass and who are ready to fight them. Frankly, when we also heavily bombard the civilian population, it is because we are preparing something behind us. In addition, there is article 61 of the Constitution of the Russian Federation, which is very short, which says that the Russian Federation must protect and assist Russian citizens abroad. In Donbass, however, many people have dual nationality. International law obliges Vladimir Putin to intervene, as does his own constitution. When we bomb civilian populations, international law requires the intervention of neighbours. However, this famous week, I have not heard the UN Secretary General worry about what the civilian population is going to suffer, I have not heard the NATO Secretary General intervene, I have not heard Mrs Von der Leyen, or President Macron, when they are supposed to guarantee the peace agreements. If a State attacks the civilian population, the international community must intervene, so I consider the Ukrainian State to be the aggressor and that the neighbouring State must intervene to protect the civilian population. I would add that 20 February 2022 is also a very interesting day. President zelensky is invited to the famous Munich Security Conference and will explain that he wants to break the Budapest protocol in order to have nuclear weapons on its territory. Over the weekend, the OSCE will continue to record 3,000 ceasefire violations. At that time, there are Ukrainian forces firing, but also the Donbas republics defending themselves. On Sunday, Vladimir Putin begins the process of recognizing the two republics and the presidents of the two republics are invited to Moscow the next day to sign aid treaties. I thought it was a good thing, because it was a sign of de-escalation because, until then, attacking the Donbass, by the Ukrainians, was attacking Ukrainian civilian populations. This time, one might have thought that the Ukrainians were going to be careful, because now they would also attack Russia. But not at all, it is still in the OSCE reports that everyone can read, the OSCE continues to record 1,700 ceasefire violations on Monday and Tuesday. Now, we are in my interpretation, Russia has understood that the Minsk agreements have lapsed. We must not forget this statement by Angela Merkel and François Hollande that Ukraine needed to be given time to arm it.
You are probably thinking a Ken Klippenstein substack post.
Edit: it isnt ken klippenstein. But another journalist. I always confuse the two of them. The one whose post I THINK you are talking about joined The Grayzone recently.
Someone used to have some clear evidence of the shelling of the Donbas ratcheting up from Ukr side in the days before the invasion. I haven’t seen it posted in a while, but it was from some international monitoring org showing how the Ukr side was being very accelerationist. I’ll see if I can dig it up.
e: not what I was thinking of, but provides similar context, this interview in French, the translated part below:
https://www.kernews.com/patrick-pasin-monsieur-stoltenberg-a-menti-et-cela-a-precipite-la-guerre/43146/
spoiler
Specifically, on Friday, the OSCE identifies 1,800 violations of the peace agreements by Ukraine, with heavy-arm shelling, which are prohibited by the Geneva Conventions and international law. On Saturday, 19 February 2022, the Donbas authorities, in agreement with Russia, evacuated 100,000 people across the border in order to protect them from Ukrainian bombing. Moreover, hundreds of buses can be seen on the roads. At that time, it is also discovered that there are more than 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers who are massed on the banks of the Donbass and who are ready to fight them. Frankly, when we also heavily bombard the civilian population, it is because we are preparing something behind us. In addition, there is article 61 of the Constitution of the Russian Federation, which is very short, which says that the Russian Federation must protect and assist Russian citizens abroad. In Donbass, however, many people have dual nationality. International law obliges Vladimir Putin to intervene, as does his own constitution. When we bomb civilian populations, international law requires the intervention of neighbours. However, this famous week, I have not heard the UN Secretary General worry about what the civilian population is going to suffer, I have not heard the NATO Secretary General intervene, I have not heard Mrs Von der Leyen, or President Macron, when they are supposed to guarantee the peace agreements. If a State attacks the civilian population, the international community must intervene, so I consider the Ukrainian State to be the aggressor and that the neighbouring State must intervene to protect the civilian population. I would add that 20 February 2022 is also a very interesting day. President zelensky is invited to the famous Munich Security Conference and will explain that he wants to break the Budapest protocol in order to have nuclear weapons on its territory. Over the weekend, the OSCE will continue to record 3,000 ceasefire violations. At that time, there are Ukrainian forces firing, but also the Donbas republics defending themselves. On Sunday, Vladimir Putin begins the process of recognizing the two republics and the presidents of the two republics are invited to Moscow the next day to sign aid treaties. I thought it was a good thing, because it was a sign of de-escalation because, until then, attacking the Donbass, by the Ukrainians, was attacking Ukrainian civilian populations. This time, one might have thought that the Ukrainians were going to be careful, because now they would also attack Russia. But not at all, it is still in the OSCE reports that everyone can read, the OSCE continues to record 1,700 ceasefire violations on Monday and Tuesday. Now, we are in my interpretation, Russia has understood that the Minsk agreements have lapsed. We must not forget this statement by Angela Merkel and François Hollande that Ukraine needed to be given time to arm it.
You are probably thinking a Ken Klippenstein substack post.
Edit: it isnt ken klippenstein. But another journalist. I always confuse the two of them. The one whose post I THINK you are talking about joined The Grayzone recently.
Edit2: it is this post https://www.kitklarenberg.com/p/civil-war-in-donbass-10-years-on
it is this post https://www.kitklarenberg.com/p/civil-war-in-donbass-10-years-on
I think it was some screenshots from the OSCE report here: https://www.osce.org/special-monitoring-mission-to-ukraine/512683
I can’t get your link to load at the moment, but maybe that was the source of these screenshots or had similar analysis.