vegeta@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 4 months agoHarris tops Trump for first time in Nate Silver’s election forecastthehill.comexternal-linkmessage-square46fedilinkarrow-up1291arrow-down18
arrow-up1283arrow-down1external-linkHarris tops Trump for first time in Nate Silver’s election forecastthehill.comvegeta@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 4 months agomessage-square46fedilink
minus-squareGaMEChld@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up17·4 months agoI think Nate made a good point about people not understanding polls. 70% chance to win means Hillary would have won 70/100 elections, not win by 70-30. But many read 70% as some kind of guarantee.
I think Nate made a good point about people not understanding polls. 70% chance to win means Hillary would have won 70/100 elections, not win by 70-30. But many read 70% as some kind of guarantee.