• zbyte64@awful.systems
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    5 months ago

    What does Bush Jr have to do with this? More seriously, Are you going to publish this somewhere?

    • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      So Bush Jr. had the lowest approval rating for a president that won a second term. He ended his second term with one of the lowest approval rating of any president of all time (just a short and curly ahead of Nixon).

      Some detail:

      Including George W. Bush

      Approval Shifts:
          Mean Shift: 1.91%
          Standard Deviation: 10.53%
      Winning Candidates' Approval Ratings:
          Mean Approval Rating: 50.73%
          Standard Deviation: 11.14%
      

      Excluding George W. Bush

      Approval Shifts:
          Mean Shift: 3.60%
          Standard Deviation: 9.40%
      Winning Candidates' Approval Ratings:
          Mean Approval Rating: 56.35%
          Standard Deviation: 4.31%
      

      Notice how the standard deviation associated with the winning candidate tightens up significantly with out Bush?

      I do publish the results of these analyses, here, on lemmy. However, I just have a day job that has prevented me from doing “the rest” of this analysis. This is only one part of a larger analysis I have planned.

      Here are the two distributions: