I lived in a small town pre-pandemic and was surprised the church had a rainbow sticker on their door. What they also had a smug congregation who during church brunches would go “I don’t care about their lifestyle but why do they gotta shove it in my face?”

Already underway. The last time this stuff was voted on it was very narrowly blocked. I think a lot of the more conservative leaning churches saw the writing on the wall and have been leaving and set up the Global Methodist Church as a replacement organization. I seem to recall nearly a quarter of Methodist churches in the US have left the UMC.

They’ve been working on this for years, an opportunity to schism gracefully was offered in advance. In the UK, they’ve allowed individual congregations to decide what can happen in their church building(s), and individual clergy to opt out of officiating.