• vexikron@lemmy.zip
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    11 months ago

    To me the funniest part is his praise for Amazon for being strong supporters.

    So, ok, heres what that means:

    Twitch will basically fold and crumble and be cannibalized and/or spun off it it cannot hit the growth rates it needs to hit in order for higher ups at Amazon to view it as a worthwhile money sink now that could actually contribute net positive to the company in the long run.

    But, if Twitch cannot grow fast enough, they will basically pull the plug as it will be too much money lost that could better be used elsewhere.

    And the inherent problem with Twitch is that its fucking madness, generates some new insane bad PR fairly reliably with some outrageous thing some streamer does, or doesnt do, or maybe did… or via generating the terms of service version of ‘a huge amount of people didnt like that’ that is impossible to not have happen for nearly any significant TOS change because again Twitch is full of crazy idiots who do not care about anything other than their really weird niche or their favorite streamer, because basicslly the whole point of twitch is to go there and have an unhealthy parasocial relationship with someone, at least thats the kind of interaction that generates revenue.

    But that is also what generates all the insane PR nightmares that are preventing Twitch from growing fast enough.

    Its essentially an unwinnable situation of paradoxes that will nearly certainly lead to business decisions that functionally either milk more money out of the current user base in one way or another, possibly combined with something like an adpocalypse.

    This makes it more profitable in the short run, but lowers long term growth prospects.

    The entire economy is currently under a lot of stress, and Amazon’s two core businesses of shipping stuff everywhere and providing basically servers for businesses are very likely to feel effects of a general economic downturn more rapidly than many other kinds of businesses.

    Twitch isnt core, its not even profitable, its a PR nightmare.

    What would you do if you were an Amazonian Higher Up and you wanted to preserve Amazon’s general profitability?

    How many people will really cancel their Amazon Prime if that involves a curtailed aspect of Twitch benefits, or none at all?